Posted on 09/10/2020 7:08:33 AM PDT by Red Badger
Nate Silver was the only Lefty pollster who gave a Trump chance in 2016.
NATE SILVER — “If you take the polls at face value right now—with Biden gaining/holding steady in AZ, WI, MI but losing ground in PA & FL, then Arizona is the tipping-point state right now, which could lead to the map shown here. This is a winning map for Biden, but it’s precarious.”
the democratic party is like a beautiful woman who is crazy...
the crazy has gotten out of control, though she be pretty, the bitch be crazy and a lot of sane people are leaving.
VA has seen what not voting gets them... trouble... massive turn out for trump this year.
IL will see the effectiveness of operation legend and the majority of the minority vote will go for trump... ( 35%)
Either MN or MI is going to go red. He’s saying NH is in play, which I find amazing. AZ going blue? Maybe. NM, maybe - a lot of rich liberals in Taos and other places. Plus it is a child trafficking hub, and they have money and are motivated to keeping Trump out of the WH.
I would not doubt it. I think Virginia is back in play, also. I’m hoping for a 2019 Brexit result, a landslide that the polls didn’t see coming.
Northam has done himself a lot of damage during his term. It will be very interesting to see what happens in VA.
IL? If you are right about the black vote? Could happen.
..one scenario I punched in on 270toWin had Trump with as many as 363 EVs— I have a feeling about Washington and Oregon...
This is the guy that didn’t know his ass from a hole in the ground last election, if I recall correctly. Why would I care what a loser thinks.
My biggest problem with this is that the Democrats don’t have a actual functioning candidate. He brings absolutely NOTHING to the table aside from not being Trump.
Do that many Americans hate Trump THIS badly? I don’t think so.
If Nate “98 percent” Silver can only wheeze Slow Joe across the finish line, that would portend a blowout to me. This is great news.
As you watch the next few months, notice how all the “mainstream” pundits will predict a Biden victory but are inconsistent on how to get there. Silver wants a clean sweep of MN, WI and MI plus AZ thrown in. Weak sauce Nate, but I understand your lefty audience would shriek in horror if you predicted a Trump win, so you HAVE to invent ways for Biden to win.
Teemab8r. I like your optimism but VA is not going in Trumps favor. He is going to win the rural counties and a few suburban counties but NOVA is going to put Biden over the top in VA. Regrettable but true.
My pleasure.
They could run an alcoholic Skid Row bum and they would support him as long as his name wasn't 'Trump'....................
Nate Silver was the only Lefty pollster who gave a Trump chance in 2016.
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Yeah... and he also had Hillary at 90-something percent chance of winning around 9 PM on election day. Not even close, there, Nate.
I’m amazed some of these people didn’t just retire in shame and go and work at McDonald’s somewhere.
The Democrat Party are political termites. They infest and gnaw away at a state from the inside until it collapses then they flee and look for a new host to devour.
Nevada is lost, the corrupt lv unions own that vote
Northern Virginia is Beltway country. One place Trump isn’t popular is where fat, happy bureaucrats live. They’re all terrified of the man. That’s why we love him.
If all he can barely manage to squeeze out is a near tie for Biden, at this point, when he had a virtual landslide for Hilliary in 2016, then it’s over.............................
I’d take it. If Trump gets between 270-300 Electoral Votes, you’ll see Democrats pulling every trick to sabotage the election. If he gets 300 or more, I think they may decide it’s no use.
I’d like to think that the Democrats riot campaign and “cancel culture” are combining to drive large numbers to vote for Trump, without daring to admit it to pollsters. Add about 10% to the reported Trump figures in MI, Wis, Minn. What massive fraud does to this is impossible to guess.
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