Posted on 08/17/2020 7:24:49 AM PDT by Redmen4ever
This report is the first of a three-part series focusing on the 2020 Presidential and U.S. Senate Elections, the COVID-19 Pandemic, and Hispanic Voters.
(Excerpt) Read more at txhpf.org ...
Four years ago, the week prior to the election, Trump was 5 points ahead in the polls, according to RealClearPolitics. His lead in the polls increased during the last week and he wound up carrying the state by 9 points.
This poll shows Trump at 62 percent among "Anglos," and 40 percent among Hispanics. The poll shows Trump at only 6 percent among blacks. (I find this hard to believe.)
Things that make you go “Hmmmmn.”
(But this is not what the democrat’s ABCNNBCBS TV media is pushing! )
Many Hispanic Texans are rural while most Texas Blacks are urban. That probably explains some of it.
There appear to be some real gems buried in this, but two thing are very notable:
1) the relatively small sample size of 846 voters, giving a margin of error of about +/- 3.5% for the OVERALL survery, and much much higher for the subgroups of latinos, blacks, men, women, etc. THis could explain the relatively low number of blacks saying they’d vote for Trump. The margin of error for that group could easily be +/- 6% or more.
2) it is stated that latinos were “oversampled,” meaning the Trump lead over Biden is likely much larger than the 5.4% shown for “very likely” voters.
Overall, this simply confirms what Mark Twain said about statistics...
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