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Are ‘shy Trump supporters’ skewing polls again?
Christian science Monitor ^ | June17th,2020 | Linda Feldman

Posted on 06/18/2020 9:05:01 AM PDT by amnestynone

Polls are catnip for political reporters, and I am no exception. This year, however, I’ve been paying less attention to the presidential “horse race" than I might otherwise, in part because of the problems with polling four years ago that pointed to a Hillary Clinton victory. It’s also such an unusual year, given the coronavirus, tough economy, and upheaval over police and race. Besides, November is still light years away, politically speaking.

But several headlines this week caught my eye. “We’re thinking landslide,” began one in Politico. The “we” in that story, more than 50 Republican officials interviewed from around the country, were looking beyond the immediate gloomy picture for President Donald Trump, and seeing unreliable polls, a rebounding economy, and a fading pandemic.

(Excerpt) Read more at csmonitor.com ...


TOPICS: Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: politico; polls; pollutico
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Food for thought!
1 posted on 06/18/2020 9:05:01 AM PDT by amnestynone
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To: amnestynone
I be voting for Biden because the other imbecile from Scranton (Bob Case, Jr.) needs company. < / sarcasm >

It is NOT a coincidence that the old TV series The Office chose Scranton for their location.

2 posted on 06/18/2020 9:08:16 AM PDT by Vigilanteman (The politicized state destroys aspects of civil society, human kindness and private charity.)
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To: amnestynone
I hope the Republicans run campaign ads emphasizing the anonymity of the voting booth. --

"Are you afraid to reveal how you feel about politics when you are at work? With your neighbors? Even your family? It can seem awfully risky to use your right to free speech. But in the voting booth, you can tell America exactly how you really feel."

3 posted on 06/18/2020 9:08:57 AM PDT by ClearCase_guy (If White Privilege is real, why did Elizabeth Warren lie about being an Indian?)
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To: amnestynone

Turnout is key.

Turnout can never be predicted by polls since people often tell pollsters they will turn out when they don’t do it.

This flaw is ridiculously easy for pollsters to discover.

All they need to do (in a state, for example) is ask voters whether they voted in the 2016 presidential election.

Then compare the polled turnout numbers to the actual turnout numbers.

You can bet the polled “turnout” is a lot higher than the actual turnout.


4 posted on 06/18/2020 9:09:01 AM PDT by cgbg (Kneeling is a half measure--lefties need to dig a six foot hole and bury themselves in it.)
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To: amnestynone

That’s definitely part of it. Hard to say how much though.

Some of Trump’s soft support has left him, especially white women, but it may only be temporary.

Still a lot of time to win them back before election day.


5 posted on 06/18/2020 9:10:18 AM PDT by comebacknewt (Trump trumps Hate)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Yup—you are on the right track.

The Democrat and leftist intimidation tactics need to be turned against them.


6 posted on 06/18/2020 9:10:24 AM PDT by cgbg (Kneeling is a half measure--lefties need to dig a six foot hole and bury themselves in it.)
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To: amnestynone

Liberals love to talk to pollsters. They’ll chat all day long. But conservatives have better things to do. We have homes to maintain, cars to fix, and guns to clean.

Side note to the ATF snoops: When I said “guns to clean” there, I was not referring to myself. I lost all my guns in a tragic boating accident. It was my own dumb fault for taking a styrofoam raft out on Lake Erie.


7 posted on 06/18/2020 9:12:04 AM PDT by Leaning Right (I have already previewed or do not wish to preview this composition.)
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To: ClearCase_guy

Believe me the times are changnig.

myself and a few paesani were eating at a table in a small park in brooklyn last night.

all of a sudden a thousand folks march by us screaming something that rhymed with floyd.

And they were open for business.

A group of them asked why we didn’t join the protest.

I simply said “it’s not my concern”

I wasn’t going to say what i would usually say if the odds weren’t 1000 to 3 :)

One of my friends is a really crazy Italian. I saw in his eyes that he was going to say the wrong thing so i cut him off.

The only safe borough for white folks right now is staten island. that’s it. everywhere else anything can happen to a white person at any time.

I didn’t know if we were gonna walk away from that table last night.


8 posted on 06/18/2020 9:12:52 AM PDT by dp0622 (The very future of tihe Republic is at stake. We now know dems will do ANYTHING to win.)
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To: amnestynone

are you kidding? With the violence and personal attacks and leaks going on these days? You will not find me with my lawn festooned with political flags. I’m keeping my politics to myself and in the voting booth i’ll vote for trump. These fascists will paint a black stripe around my house and burn it down!


9 posted on 06/18/2020 9:13:31 AM PDT by Samurai_Jack (God Bless you Rush Limbaugh... We are with you.)
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To: cgbg
How about this:

This past year the mass media, the big corporations, and other large organizations have told you how you supposed to think.

Now is your chance--to let them know you are a free and proud American and will not be bullied by anyone.

Stand tall and proud with President Trump.

10 posted on 06/18/2020 9:14:06 AM PDT by cgbg (Kneeling is a half measure--lefties need to dig a six foot hole and bury themselves in it.)
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To: amnestynone

More than a million people requested tickets for Trump’s Tulsa rally.

There’s a poll for ya.


11 posted on 06/18/2020 9:14:09 AM PDT by E. Pluribus Unum (Who could have guessed the Communist Revolution would arrive disguised as the common cold?)
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To: amnestynone

I won’t respond to polls because the leftists targets their enemies.

I agree with the premise.


12 posted on 06/18/2020 9:14:18 AM PDT by damncat
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To: amnestynone
Polls are total BS.

The left uses them to influence wavering voters and the right doesn't reveal the true numbers.

I have not paid much attention to polls because the methodology is slanted.

13 posted on 06/18/2020 9:14:29 AM PDT by USS Alaska (NUKE THE MOOSELIMB, TERRORISTS, NOW!)
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To: amnestynone

Gee why would they be shy when the left is causing everyone to lose their jobs and be disgraced and attacked in public?


14 posted on 06/18/2020 9:15:32 AM PDT by Williams (Stop Tolerating The Intolerant)
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To: ClearCase_guy
I hope the Republicans run campaign ads emphasizing the anonymity of the voting booth. —

I have Trump-deranged cat lady leftist relatives. I avoid discussing politics with them. If pollsters call me (and I do get a lot of calls) I either hang-up, or I lie. Conservatives are under coordinated assault everywhere - of course media, but even corporations, schools, sports - leftist/statist slogans are everywhere, so everyday people just keep their heads down and get on with their lives.

The shy Trump supporter is a very real thing

15 posted on 06/18/2020 9:17:22 AM PDT by PGR88
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To: cgbg
This flaw is ridiculously easy for pollsters to discover.

Not if their jobs are dependent upon them not discovering it. :)

16 posted on 06/18/2020 9:19:28 AM PDT by Mr. Jeeves ([CTRL]-[GALT]-[DELETE])
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To: LS

Ping.


17 posted on 06/18/2020 9:19:51 AM PDT by ScottfromNJ
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To: amnestynone

I have received four calls from pollsters in the past week. Even though I would not vote for Sleepy Joe for any public office save dog catcher during a rabies epidemic, I say I will vote for Sleepy Joe because he would be better for the economy, race relations, international relations, etc., than “Orange Boy”. I fail to tell the pollsters that the only way I will not vote for Donald Trump is if one of the two of us are dead.


18 posted on 06/18/2020 9:20:22 AM PDT by MIchaelTArchangel (I miss Don Imus!)
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To: amnestynone

I have received four calls from pollsters in the past week. Even though I would not vote for Sleepy Joe for any public office save dog catcher during a rabies epidemic, I say I will vote for Sleepy Joe because he would be better for the economy, race relations, international relations, etc., than “Orange Boy”. I fail to tell the pollsters that the only way I will not vote for Donald Trump is if one of the two of us are dead.


19 posted on 06/18/2020 9:20:22 AM PDT by MIchaelTArchangel (I miss Don Imus!)
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To: amnestynone

Shy?

How about not wanting your car or home to be vandalized - and not being attacked by violent “protesters” ?


20 posted on 06/18/2020 9:21:53 AM PDT by Principled (No one will conquer America, from within or without, until its citizenry are disarmed.)
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