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Exclusive: Ahead of 2020 election, a 'Blue Wave' is rising in the cities, polling analysis shows
Reuters ^ | February 19, 2020 | by Chris Kahn

Posted on 02/19/2020 6:45:17 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer

NEW YORK - As Republican President Donald Trump seeks a second term in November, Americans’ interest in voting is growing faster in large cities dominated by Democrats than in conservative rural areas, according to an analysis of Reuters/Ipsos national opinion polls.

If the trend lasts until Election Day on Nov. 3, it would be a reversal from the 2016 election when rural turnout outpaced voting in urban areas, helping Trump narrowly win the White House.

The finding, based on responses from more than 88,000 U.S. adults who took the online poll from August to December 2015 or from August to December 2019, suggests that the “Blue Wave,” a swell of anti-Trump activism that followed his entry into the White House in 2017, is still rolling across the country’s largest population centers.

Even as Trump commands rock-solid support among Republicans, voters’ interest in going to the polls appears to be growing faster among those who disapprove of Trump than among those who approve of him, according to experts who reviewed the data.

The advantage in urban political engagement extends deep into the most competitive battleground states that Trump won by razor-thin margins four years ago, the data shows.

In large urban areas of the upper Midwest, a region that includes swing states Michigan and Wisconsin, for example, the number of people who said they were “certain” to vote in the upcoming presidential election rose by 10 percentage points to 67% compared with survey responses from 2015.

(Excerpt) Read more at reuters.com ...


TOPICS: Constitution/Conservatism; Culture/Society; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: 2020electionbias; alreuters; astroturf; communistrevolution; dnctalkingpoints; fakenews; soros
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1 posted on 02/19/2020 6:45:17 AM PST by Oldeconomybuyer
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Polls said Hillary would be president too.


2 posted on 02/19/2020 6:46:22 AM PST by al_c (Democrats: Party over Common Sense)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Al Reuters..favorite “news” outlet of Swamp Creatures everywhere.


3 posted on 02/19/2020 6:49:37 AM PST by Gay State Conservative (The Rats Can't Get Over The Fact That They Lost A Rigged Election)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Had me worried until I got to this point:

“The Reuters/Ipsos poll, which is conducted online and administered throughout the United States, started asking American adults in 2012 to rate their overall level of interest in voting in upcoming general elections.

“Poll respondents were asked to rate their level of engagement on a scale of one to 10, with one meaning they were certain not to vote and 10 meaning they were certain to participate.

It gathered 53,394 responses in the last five months of 2015 and 35,271 responses in the same part of 2019.”


4 posted on 02/19/2020 6:49:41 AM PST by edwinland
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

SOSDE........................


5 posted on 02/19/2020 6:50:04 AM PST by Red Badger (CWII is coming. It won't be nice like the last one....................)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

and in other news: Hillary has a 96 percent chance of winning and Trump has a 3 percent chance.

More psychological warfare.


6 posted on 02/19/2020 6:50:16 AM PST by euram
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I suggest treating this info as very possible, even though it’s probably propaganda-—as evidenced by early primary turnouts.


7 posted on 02/19/2020 6:51:28 AM PST by chiller (As Davey Crockett once said: Be sure you're right. Then go ahead. I'm goin' ahead.)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If the rats had a real candidate, I might give this report some credence.

But the Democrat presidential race is a dumpster fire this year. Nobody’s excited about it, even the pundits on the Left.

Yet somehow a “great blue wave” is rising out of the cities, 9 months prior to the election. Right...


8 posted on 02/19/2020 6:51:43 AM PST by chrisser
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

So what? Democrats are desperate so they’re claiming the big cities will turn out for them in bigger numbers than in 2016.

Now they’re focusing their hope on increased turnout when they have no one who can beat Trump and they don’t have a positive agenda.

About that? There’s the old saw you can’t beat something with nothing and that’s true in 2020.


9 posted on 02/19/2020 6:51:47 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Polls are designed and intended to Shape Opinion, Not reflect it.


10 posted on 02/19/2020 6:51:51 AM PST by eyeamok
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

We can expect to see more of these garbage polls as the calendar marches on to November. The Leftist propagandists are going to fire every weapon they have in their quest for power. Think it’s been bad over the last three years? We ain’t seen nothing yet.


11 posted on 02/19/2020 6:51:52 AM PST by Dan in Wichita
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I got to start looking at where the article is coming from before I waste my time reading them. It’s really the order you need to do things on here


12 posted on 02/19/2020 6:53:29 AM PST by dp0622 (Radicals, racists Don't point finger at me I'm a small town white boy Just tryin' to makne ends meet)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Wow! This undeniable phenomenon will probably result in the Democrats winning New York and California by pretty wide margins! Shocking.


13 posted on 02/19/2020 6:54:33 AM PST by cdcdawg (Cornpop was a pony soldier!)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

“interest in voting”

Just how the hell are you supposed to quantify THAT?

Tells me 2 things.

1) Trump voters refuse to talk to pollsters
2) Interest won’t actually get this slugs off the couch on Election Day.


14 posted on 02/19/2020 6:54:42 AM PST by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer
Just another justification for the abolition of the Electoral College!

But, but, but we won the popular vote by 400 million!

15 posted on 02/19/2020 6:58:37 AM PST by Aevery_Freeman (So, Wuhan China had a Bio-weapons Lab...who knew?)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

I’m assuming these polls are as accurate as 2016, in which they were trying to be persuasive rather than predictive.


16 posted on 02/19/2020 6:59:01 AM PST by BBQToadRibs
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

If they say it..they believe it is true...it is not true.


17 posted on 02/19/2020 7:00:52 AM PST by Leep (Everyday is Trump Day!)
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To: Aevery_Freeman

So Democrats will get more voters out in NY and LA where they have a vote surplus - we don’t hold a national election for the President but state by state.


18 posted on 02/19/2020 7:00:54 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

2018 turnout for the Democrats really was huge. They flipped 40 house seats, mostly in moderate, suburban districts where Trump was not popular.


19 posted on 02/19/2020 7:02:24 AM PST by babble-on
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To: Oldeconomybuyer

Reuters/Ipsos. Of course. And who did they predict won in 2016?


20 posted on 02/19/2020 7:03:25 AM PST by goldstategop (In Memory Of A Dearly Beloved Friend Who Lives In My Heart Forever)
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