Posted on 11/06/2018 11:06:08 AM PST by spacejunkie2001
Rush just reported a polling group (tensilar?) just reported the last poll of the election with DeSantis 50 to 46 Gillum and 49 Scott to 47 Nelson. This group was the only group in 2016 that had Trump winning.
Please God, let it be so!!!!
Ladies and gentlemen, don’t worry about a hurricane blowing the money out of your wallets and purses.
Gillum will grab it beforehand.
Gov. Of Tennessee the other night IIRC
The same outfit that predicted Trump take PA, which he did.
Or just throw more polls at it to throw the averages. RCP doesn’t have much if any way to adjust the various polls for reliability. Maybe they adjust for the margin of error, I don’t really know, but certainly not for skewed internals like one I saw that had women outvoting men 55% to 45%. A poll like that is utterly useless except to 1) motivate or discourage voting and 2) skew the average of all polls. Sometimes women get out to vote more than men, but not by 10% points difference.
This is what Rush is talking about with Frank Luntz’s group (only pollster to accurately predict Trump 2016 wins in MI and PA):
FL Sen/Gov Survey Nov 6, 2018:
FL Sen Poll
Bill Nelson 47.3%
Rick Scott 49%
Undecided 3.7%
FL Gov Poll
Ron DeSantis 50%
Andrew Gillum 46.6%
Other 1.4%
Undecided 2.1%
AZ Sen Survey Nov 6, 2018:
AZ Sen Poll
Martha McSally 47.4%
Kyrsten Sinema 45.3%
Other 1.5%
Undecided 5.9%
TX Sen Survey Nov 5, 2018:
TX Sen Poll
Ted Cruz 52.1%
Beto O’Rourke 43.2%
Other 1.2%
Undecided 3.5%
MT Sen Survey November 5, 2018:
Matt Rosendale 49%
Jon Tester 50.1%
Other .5%
Undecided .4%
MI Sen Survey Nov 5, 2018:
MI Sen Poll
John James 43.8%
Debbie Stabenow 52.8%
Other .9%
Undecided 2.4%
MO Sen Survey Nov 4, 2018:
MO Sen Poll
Josh Hawley 48.3%
Claire McCaskill 44.4%
Other 4%
Undecided 3.3%
GA Gov Survey Nov 4, 2018:
GA Gov Poll
Brian Kemp 52.4%
Stacey Abrams 40.1%
Undecided 3.8%
https://www.trafalgarstrategy.com
The panhandle, due to the hurricane, had their early voting extended to yesterday (the regular end of early voting was Sunday)
Plus organizations, such as The United West, have set up shop in Panama City to provide transportation to and from polling places for people effected by the hurricane.
If Menendez loses, It’ll be a BLOODBATH.
Yes. Too many college kids, “Let’s put on a poll”. Included
They have Texter victory in MT not good!!!
We’ll have a good night and pick up 5-7+ Senate seats and hold the House.
In a mid term election, the party in power usually faces a bloodbath.
First election since 2002 to break with the mid term itch.
Stop paying attention to polls. We’ll have a few surprises.
That MT race is so close it’s a toss up pick’m. It’s about who wants it more.
Read another site where AZ polls were turning away voters in heavy republican areas for no reason.
AZ polling place in heavy Republican precinct turns away voters...writes their names and numbers on scratch paper...says “We’ll get back to you.”
Don’t know the veracity of the source especially since state election officials have had two years to prepare for the midterms.
Hope Trifalgar polling is accurate Scott and DeSantis for Senator and Governor!!!
Don’t fall for exit poll garbage this afternoon.
Ignore exit polls , good or bad.
RCP leaves out polls positive to Republicans and uses Old Polls positive to Democrats.
Rosendale will win. Trump put in a stop to make it happen.
RCP just reports the polls and takes an average of the last 4...not everything is INFESTED
If you look at the Trafalgar Group polls, they always use a large base for their analysis ....their polls usually have 1,000 or more respondents...compare that to other polls that run 4-500 respondents and you can see why they are successful.
It’s much easier to run a scam poll when you have smaller numbers....15-20 over sample of one group can make the poll say whatever you want.
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