She did not factor in we had voter id in play for 2016. They could not bus in nearly as many democrats from Ilinois as they did in 208 and 2012.
One other thing- blacks were NOT fired up to vote for Hillary. Whereas the Hood blacks would’ve crawled over broken glass to vote for Obama, many couldn’t be bothered to vote for Hillary- plus, subconsciously, many of the black population were eager to see Donald J. Trump become President.