Posted on 09/07/2017 8:09:47 AM PDT by NautiNurse
Dangerous Category 5 Hurricane Irma had a devastating impact on islands in the Caribbean.
Hurricane and Storm surge watches were issued Thursday morning for South Florida. The Florida Keys began evacuating visitors and residents, followed by flood zones in Miami and Miami Beach. Sarasota FL declared a local state of emergency Thursday morning.
Polk County FL Sheriff Grady Judd said Wednesday that law enforcement authorities would check the identities of people who turn up at shelters--and take to jail anyone found to have an active arrest warrant. “If you go to a shelter for Irma and you have a warrant, we’ll gladly escort you to the safe and secure shelter called the Polk County Jail... “If you have a warrant, turn yourself in to the jail — it’s a secure shelter.” Judd also posted that sex offenders and sex predators would not be admitted to the shelters. "We cannot and we will not have innocent children in a shelter with sexual offenders & predators. Period." Judd's statements unleashed a liberal firestorm via Twitter.
Mash image to find lots of satellite imagery links
Public Advisories
NHC Discussions
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Miami, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Melbourne, FL
NOAA Local Weather Statements/Radar Jacksonville, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Charleston, SC
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Wilmington, NC, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Morehead City, FL
NHC Local Weather Statements/Radar Norfolk, VA
Buoy Data Caribbean
Buoy Data SE US & GOM
Buoy Data NC/SC/GA
Hebert Box - Mash Pic for Tutorial
Credit: By J Cricket - Modification of map from Wiki
If it continues the course of the last few frames and does not turn west, it will cross the Keys and into the Gulf, hammering the Keys and raking south Florida. Other strong hurricanes have tended to take a parabolic path like the one Irma has generally followed until something else big enough changes it. With the bigger storms, it takes a bigger system. What I really wonder is if Jose has been fully taken into account.
After tracking WNW over the Cuban Keys, Irma just went due West and that took her inside the Cuban Keys and she will hit Cuban mainland right about now. If she keeps due West will go out over water again as Cuban coastline recedes a little in a Bay. Then back on land again.
How far west could it go?
Who knows? We’ll find out when she makes landfall.
I read once, don’t remember where, that the tiny coasts of Alabama & Mississippi have been hit by hurricanes more than all the other gulf coast States combined. The reason they have was where they are in relation to the North Pole. Supposedly when there is nothing strong enough to steer it, the magnetic pull plays a role.
Again I don’t remember where I read that, it could be utter horse crap for all I know. Maybe someone on here can elaborate or call bs. Either way, I think our models are crap for this day and age.
Thanks for the reply!
Blam, you folks prepared down there?
Well of course I’m not criticizing you or the fact that you posted the graph, I’m critical of the graph. Don’t take it personal.
How can the eye move southwest and hit Miami?
Oh. I thought they were talking about Florida. I was about to get really pissed.
Still pisses me off they do it in Cuba, but not up in here.
Everything about that story sounds like fake news. More eye crossings than Florida even ? Aligned to North Pole ? From that distance not much difference in relation to pole.
The eye might not make it to Miami if Irma turns SW before the eye reaches Florida.
The NWS was only 50 miles off on where the eye of Harvey would make landfall. Not too bad.
Captiva is where I’ve spent last three Thanksgivings with my brood
It’s puriy flat
Godspeed y’all
“Eye,at Ft. Myers 8pm Sat?
Or,Sun?”
I would say very late Sunday night even just into Monday. I would appear to be just about 48 hours from the last run of the Euro that it gets there if that track holds.
2AM Monday morning?
I read this years ago. I guess living in Mobile and Coastal Mississippi so long it sure seems like we get hit a lot for such a small coast line.
I’ll have to check and see if I can find anything. Again, I don’t remember where I read it, I just remember thinking it was interesting.
No kidding
No question the media hypes storms
Especially the rare one that hits the precious North
They said to start with it would make landfall as a tropical storm. Them maybe a Cat 1. Then at the last min a Cat 3. It was a Cat 4.
The forecast changed drastically in a very short time. It’s a little easier to predict landfall when it’s right off the coast. And they were saying Corpus right up until just before landfall.
Hurricanes are not as predictable as the Weather Channel and the NHC would have you believe.
I should mention that time would be for the eye to get there. Strong hurricane effects will be there well before that I would say.
Which is why the decision was made in the early fifties to name them for women.
Waveland to Ocean Springs has had more big hurricane hits than anywhere on the USA mainland past 50 years
Four big direct hits
Camille ....the strongest named storm yet....and I was there
Frederic...wind storm and water
Elena ....
Katrina...so big and slow....most swell damage in US history....surge of 33 foot over a coastline that is about 4-7 foot above sea level to Pass road
The coast will never be the same after Katrina
I hope this one spares yall
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