Some of the big-name polls are weighted very heavily toward Democrats, as you probably know.
A poll of registered votes is better than one just of “voters,” but as somebody mentioned upthread the “likely” voter polls are the most reliable. I know you already know that too.
But I would think the national polls are almost irrelevant, unless somebody goes way up or way down.
The swing state polls will tell the story. One thing that I think favors Trump, whatever his numbers, is that his voters are going to flock to the voting stations, and more will likely turn out even than the best polls show.
Hillary will get the hard left traditionalists...but a hell of a lot of supposed Clinton voters will be stoop-settin or jet-settin or just settin it out. My hunch anyway.
That would be the best outcome of all unless she pulls a Palin and announces someone as McCain did that truly inspires the base to the polls