Posted on 04/15/2016 2:18:24 PM PDT by No Dems 2016
Donald Trump is poised to run away with next weeks Republican primary in New York, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC New York/Marist poll shows.
The New York businessman leads his closest rival, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, by 29 percentage points among likely Republican primary voters, 54% to 25%, the poll finds. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz is a distant third, as the top choice of 16% of likely Republican voters.
The results for Mr. Trump mirror a survey released earlier this week by the Journal, NBC News and Marist that also showed the Republican front-runner with 54% support. The biggest potential development to come from the latest batch of data is the emergence of Mr. Kasich as the clear second-place alternative to Mr. Trump.
If theres someone to watch in the closing hours, closing days, its Kasich, said Lee Miringoff, director of the Marist College Institute for Public Opinion. He said the Ohio governor seems to owe his rise to Cruz voters, because support for the Texas senator recently has trailed off while support for Mr. Trump has not diminished.
With the front-runner holding such a big lead, suspense in the contest focuses more on the size of Mr. Trumps expected winning margin than on whether he will claim victory. He needs to eclipse the 50% threshold in as many of New Yorks 27 congressional districts as possible to collect the lions share of the states 95 delegates.
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Among Republican primary voters, Mr. Trump performs slightly better in and around New York City than he does upstate, but he exceeds the 50% mark in both regions.
(Excerpt) Read more at wsj.com ...
The feeling is mutual. I despise all the rude, arrogant, big-government, baby-killing liberals and RINOs in Democrat-loving states like NY too.
What I find amazing is how close all these polls are to each other.
Trump's numbers will probably move up to 50 or close to 50 by the end of the nomination fight. Cruz's big number in popular vote came primarily from Texas, but Trump dominated in many of the smaller states and the vast majority of the south.
I especially hate amnesty, "free-trade", globalist Freepers. They're the worst!
This 29 point lead is only New York. In the most recent national poll he is being devastated by only having a 19 point lead. So no wonder he has to cheat by suggesting that delegates that he wins should be people that represent him!
Now all Trump has to do is seal the deal and win the 27 districts. Or he can lose a bunch of those and whine about the process.
Hilarious coming from the Cruzlims who spend all day trashing Trump left and right and denigrating any state that you purists deem liberal. You guys find it so easy to support a guy who makes Bill Clinton look like a truth teller. So easy there Skywalker with your righteous indignation.
Just their talking up a contested convention with sophomoric glee and totally ignoring how this enables the GOPe agenda to silence the voice of the base and their mandate and vote, just shows how disgusting so many of these Cruzbots are who totally disrespect the Republican base majority, their voice, their vote, their mandate, and are in glee over fascist tactics just because their second rate candidate cannot win the votes and would be so un-American and so creepy, if they had their way it would totally destroy the Republican Party. A reformation for the Party is coming, and a root canal due for these types of stupid frogs.
Best case scenario, Cruz is probably looking at 1-2 delegates.
14 delegates. He can brag about winning but it’s not a game changer.
Diebold virus will put it down to 49 before results finish.
Cruz getting his Florida and Ohio #s. What a crap candidate.
Not to mention his taking the name of the Lord in “vain” to serve his own ends.
Maybe he now has figured out that whomever God is...it isn’t him.
Trump takes N.Y., Pa., N.J., Delaware, Maryland, Ct., R.I., all of which have BIG delegate prizes and Teddykins shall get NONE!
Can YOU "count noses", or are you stuck with COMMIE CORE MATH and still believing that Trump can be stopped? LOL
Oh and Cruz is NOT going to win the GIGANTIC PRIZE, California!
Stick all of THAT in your pipe and smoke it!
In. N.Y.? I doubt that.
I heard one guy in the Bronx was going to vote for Cruz, but than this guy walks his cat with a leash.
“If Trump were as popular in NY as everyone depicts him, he should be getting 60, 70, or even 80 percent. So the tells me almost half of NYers could care less of the Trumpster.”
How soon they forget.
Ted ‘won’ his home state of Texas with a measly 43.8% of the vote. He wound up with less than 50% on his own home turf. What’s that say about Ted’s popularity?
Ted Cruz will never do well in the NE where Trump is big, but he will win the Mountain states like CO and WY, along with places like Montana on June 7th.
Its about more than the GOPe since Cruz had said federal lands should be turned over to state control while Trump opposes such a notion.
If Trump can take all of NY, and then the following week the vast majority of:
Connecticut
Delaware
Maryland
Pennsylvania
Rhode Island
...particularly PA, then he has a very, very good shot of closing this out before the convention...which is what he needs to do.
I expect Cruz, outside of NY on the 19th, is going to continue to accumulate a strong number of delegates...but if Trump can take all of NY (and it looks like he will) then Cruz will no longer have a path to the nomination on the first ballot.
At that point, IMHO, since the GOPe will only try and use Cruz to deny Trump and then discard him (Cruz) in the process, I hope Cruz throws in with Trump.
I say this as a Cruz supporter.
Right now, we need a united party and we need to absolutely ensure that the GOPe does not have a leg to stand on.
That will lead to victory in November.
Cruz can help make that happen by announcing May 1st that he is throwing in with Trump.
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