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To: Iowa David
Agree on what Cruz is doing gathering delegates. Keep Trump from getting 1237 and Cruz wins.

OK - I'll play... exactly how does that work? Do you really believe that suddenly the GOP establishment will actually back Cruz at the Convention? Based on what? The only way Cruz has a shot is to get 1237 himself. And to do that, he needs big wins in Trump's backyard. And a huge win in California. Sorry, but if Kasich is still in it, Cruz will come in 3rd in CA.

777 posted on 03/22/2016 8:57:06 PM PDT by Tuxedo (Trump/Newt)
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To: Tuxedo

I will do a quick explain. This is one example. In Iowa in June we will pick 30 delegates at the state convention. My guess is none will be true Trump supporters. The first ballot they have to vote for Trump. After that they vote for whomever they want.


808 posted on 03/22/2016 9:01:12 PM PDT by Iowa David (Cruz 2016 - Before it's too late)
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To: Tuxedo; Iowa David
OK - I'll play... exactly how does that work?

I'll answers it - It doesn't.

Even giving Cruz 7 states where he shuts out Trump who gets zero delegates including Utah as seen in bold below, Cruz will not stop Trump. In this scenario, Trump gets 696 + 710 = 1,406 delegates by June 7th.



Sheet 2: Sheet2

States Delegates Trump Simulator
American Samoa 9 9
Arizona 58 58
Utah 40



North Dakota 28



Wisconsin 42 42



Colorado 37



New York 95 95



Connecticut 28 21
Delaware 16 16
Maryland 38 38
Pennsylvania 71 60
Rhode Island 19 15



Indiana 57 57



Nebraska 36 36
West Virginia 34 34



Oregon 28



Washington 44 38



California 172 140
Montana 27
New Jersey 51 51
New Mexico 24
South Dakota 29






Totals 983 710

872 posted on 03/22/2016 9:16:07 PM PDT by Red Steel
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