Posted on 03/09/2016 7:22:42 AM PST by Eccl 10:2
Poll Reading: Republican support for Trump settles around 40%
(Excerpt) Read more at polling.reuters.com ...
Yes, so is everthing else in his mind. Another egomaniacal narcissist Cult of Personality icon for the TV crowd to worship, while he bypasses Congress to "Get Things Done". Just what we need. SMH
Weird way of putting a 120 delegate lead when now Cruz has to win more than 65% of all remaining delegates, many of them in northeastern states like NY, CT, RI, PA or IL where he hasn’t got a chance.
Actually, though according to Five Thirty Eight Trump has 461 delegates (not 458) and gained ground (he was at 104% of what he needed, now at 106%), while Cruz stuck at 69% of what he needs.
8 states
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That is a convention rule and can be changed at the upcoming convention.
All this will be addressed before the nomination process starts.
Aw. Poor baby. Your little Cruz couldn’t convince voters to vote for him and now you are upset. It happens. Now all you have left is bashing trump. Poor thing.
North Dakota National Committeeman Curly Haugland, a member of the RNC Rules Committee, will propose from the convention floor that any Republican candidate with at least one delegate to be ‘deemed’ nominated on the first ballot. This would replace Rule 40b.
What are you going to say when Trump gets 99 delegates from Florida? How are you going to spin that?
Florida Republican Presidential Primary CNN/ORC Trump 40, Rubio 24, Cruz 19, Kasich 5 Trump +16
Florida Republican Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Trump 45, Rubio 22, Cruz 18, Kasich 8 Trump +23
Florida Republican Presidential Primary News 13/SurveyUSA Trump 42, Rubio 22, Cruz 17, Kasich 10 Trump +20
Cruz a distant 3rd in all three most recent polls.
Trump 40, 45, 42 in a 4 way race. +16, +23, +20
In a presidential opponent’s home state, who is a sitting Senator in that state.
GO TRUMP!
I wonder how the Ohio polls will change now that Kasich cratered in Michigan? Trump is already ahead, his lead can only grow.
The millions of dollars being spent by the neo-con-artists and their open borders toadies doesn’t seem to be working. Maybe they’ll pack up their crap and move back to the democrat party from whence they came.
I will spin it by saying it ain't over till someone has 1,237 delegates to win the nomination.
If by chance Rubio gets out before Florida as he's being advised, endorses Cruz, game changer.
“This is starkly different from the Wall Street Journal/NBC push poll.”
The WSJ/NBC poll is a laughing stock. To be totally ignored.
Trump will be around 800 total votes and about 300 votes ahead after next Tuesday... If this is indeed how it plays out Cruz’s path to the nomination is virtually non existent.
With the exception of his home state, Cruz has yet to win a single big delegate largely populated state primary, and it doesn’t look like he’s about to anytime soon.
This self delusion that one on one Trump loses is the last vestige of the deluded mind. To date, every single time Trump has focused on a candidate, he’s take them out, every single time... This idea that someone Cruz will be the exception if it should boil down to a one on one is just wishful thinking.
The idea that every single Rubio or Kasich voter will defacto go to Cruz if they drop out is nothing more than fantasy. Cruz has shown he can perform in western low population, sparsely populated states, and win more often than not in Caucus states.. that’s it.. .and even with winner take all that doesn’t get him to 1237, or prevent Trump from reaching 1237.
Is it statistically impossible that Cruz can’t win yet, no, there is still mathematically a possibility... but there is also a mathematical possibility that the most beautiful women in the world will all collectively decide that fat old hairy slobs that live in their mother’s basements are the hottest guys to be with... but that doesn’t mean its likely.
Cruz supporters are drawing their last breaths on this he can win argument.. If Trump takes FL and OH let alone NC and MO as well, the path for Cruz is all but closed. Cruz just doesn’t have it this year.
Big debate tomorrow, both Trump & Cruz will focus on taking out Rubio.
And like you said, big delegate counts coming up.
It certainly hasn't been boring.
You misunderstand the requirements, it is fifty percent of a State’s delegates, not fifty percent of the voters. Trump now has seven of the required eight State delegations required to place his name in nomination.
dvwjr
If Cruz were to pull off a major surprise and somehow take Florida, then I would be willing to reconsider my position... but so far even when Cruz gets a win, or at least what could be argued performs better than anticipated, he has been unable to capitalize on it.
But should Cruz somehow pull out Florida and take those 99 delegates from Trump, Cruz could make some sort of credible argument that maybe he has a path, he’d keep the lead to about 200 and finally have a win in a large population primary state to point to and perhaps be able to use it as a springboard from, but even then I just don’t see it.
The primaries are moving north east and midwest/mid atlantic, that’s Trump’s wheel house. Yes, Cruz will probably continue to perform well in the west but the delegates just aren’t there for him to win.. The south plus the west? Sure, which I am sure was Cruz’s original plan, but Trump, with the exception of Cruz’s home state, has just owned the south... there isn’t enough left out west to make it up.
Trump’s message on trade is going to play strong across the upper midwest and mid atlantic and Trump has a natural appeal around his home state of NY/NJ.
However, should Cruz pull off an upset in FL perhaps, just perhaps I am wrong and he could use that to try to build momentum in areas he has thusfar flailed in. I doubt it, but can concede a devils advocate position.
Trump comes out of next Tuesday like he did last night, and its really lights out.
I could get behind Trump in Nov., No problem.
I’m not a Cruz hater either, been around too long to get emotionally invested the way some are in any campaign.
Trump’s biggest hurdle is going to be dealing with the bitter right.... the minority folks in power who have controlled the agenda for 30 years are going to do anything to hold on to their power... If Trump is the nominee he will face far more and far more brutal attacks from those on the right that he will from those on the left.
The oligarchy would rather see Hillary than Trump... she’s part of establishment as well.
At Secretive Meeting, Tech CEOs And Top Republicans Commiserate, Plot To Stop Trump
Karl Rove shared focus group findings that give hope to the GOP establishment.
HuffPo’s Grim: 54 Private Jets at Meeting to Stop Trump
I am not saying Cruz is GOP Establishment, he is not.
These guys hate Cruz as much as Trump. ..they hate their supporters.
MUST SEE=> Did Mitt Romney Just File Papers to Run for President?
| I agree Rubio's exit would be a game changer. However, Trump is considered a kind of "favorite son" in Florida thanks to his home there, investments, golf courses, etc. |
I suspected the WSJ/NBC poll was an exercise in disinformation. So I’m glad to see the Reuters poll results tend to discredit it.
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