Posted on 10/24/2015 4:37:00 PM PDT by SeekAndFind
Betting and prediction markets say that Marco Rubio is most likely to be the Republican nominee. There. Now how much are you willing to put down on Marco's candicacy? I personally will have to look into some of these markets to see if there is a way to short them.
It’s official: Jeb Bush is no longer the leading contender to become the Republican candidate for president. Instead, prediction markets now rate Marco Rubio as far more likely to get the nod.
One broad measure of the betting markets puts Mr. Rubio’s chances at 34 percent versus Mr. Bush’s at 23 percent.
Traders at Betfair, which is the world’s largest betting exchange, but which doesn’t take bets from Americans, rate Mr. Bush a 20 percentchance to win the nomination, while Mr. Rubio is given a 29 percentchance. Over at PredictIt... traders have moved more decisively, giving Mr. Bush a 24 percent chance, compared with Mr. Rubio’s 40 percent.
The outsiders Donald Trump and Ben Carson continue to dominate the polls, each well above 20 percent in national polls, while typically neither Mr. Rubio nor Mr. Bush registers double-digit support.
Yet prediction markets see neither Mr. Trump nor Mr. Carson as likely to win the nomination. Mr. Trump is rated around a one-in-six chance to win, with Mr. Carson’s chances at about half that.
(Excerpt) Read more at americanthinker.com ...
PING
Of course, the most amusing part is that Bush was ever the “favorite” and then that it took so long for him to fall from his perceived status.
Kinky.
This must be SNL humor. No way on Rubio in any capacity.
Never will vote for him and I don’t know anyone personally that likes him or Carson for that matter
Amin-nasty is a looser.
Doesnt make sense to me but time will tell. His only competition is Trump and possibly Cruz. Cruz has a image problem with the general public and Trump is his own worst enemy.
Rubio’s appearance at the Villages was a huge hit Im told. He has lukewarm support in S Florida. If things go south for Trump all hell will break lose.
For the record I will vote for the top tier....but draw the line with Bush. Im currently with Trump. I think he is enough of a SOB to get the US going again.
ITA ... been saying it for weeks/months....not sure how long. Rubio/Kasich puts Ohio and Florida in the R column.
Not a fan of either ... and think Rubio has some skeletons rattling around ... but I do think Rubio & Kasich will have the GOPe stamp of approval. GOPe will fight like all get out to keep Trump and Cruz off the ballot.
If that happens I’ll not be voting for President or write in Mickie Mouse!!
I will not vote for Rubio, or any ticket he is on.
Oh, gee wiz... I certainly hope not!! Hopefully, Mr. T has better sense than to do that.
It is simply hopeful prognostication, an attempt to influence people.
Well these apparently are foreigners betting so they haven’t a clue how ticked off we are!
If the traders are right, they’re gonna make a killing.
Or as is more likely, take losses because they didn’t want to bid on undervalued stock.
Rubio id elected, will sweat more than any president before except Buraq Hussein Obama.
When donkeys fly ..!!!!
When people are dragging Latino’s out of a Trump meeting, and the crowd is cheering USA, USA, Rubio is a big problem.
Rubio is for AMNESTY. Every kind of amnesty you can think of. Why do you think Schumer hijacked him for the “Gang of 8”. But, I believe somebody clued Rubio in and he backed off from the “Gang” stuff. However, that doesn’t mean that he has changed his mind about amnesty .. oh no, he still believes that it will be cruel to return these people .. When they came here illegally, when they cannot speak English; when they don’t have jobs or a place to live; citizens like seniors, or Veterans need our support more.
Now for a short public service announcement to all on FR:
I prefer Cruz and my money goes to his campaign, hence the Cruz link. If you like someone else, donate to him/her (find your own link to do it) and if you use FR and don't donate, then please don't complain about the welfare leeches or those who have Obama Phones.....
GO CRUZ!! Keep it up Trump!!
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