Posted on 08/08/2014 9:10:41 AM PDT by cotton1706
The Establishment got every one of their incumbents with challengers renominated, with these diminishing victory margins:
Cornyn and McConnell: 60%
Lindsey Graham: 56%
Cochran: 50% (with democrats)
Roberts: 48%
Alexander: 49%
Remember that both Chambliss and Johannes decided to retire this year. And given the terrible voting records of those up for reelection in 2016, I expect several retirements/open seats.
Paul (KY) - 2016 - 97% (Average) - 96% (Heritage) - 97% (CFG) - 96% (ACU) - 100% (FreedomWorks)
Rubio (FL) - 2016 - 92% (Average) - 87% (Heritage) - 91% (CFG) - 96% (ACU) - 95% (FreedomWorks)
Crapo (ID) - 2016 - 89% (Average) - 79% (Heritage) - 92% (CFG) - 88% (ACU) - 95% (FreedomWorks)
Coburn (OK) - 2016 - 88% (Average) - 81% (Heritage) - 93% (CFG) - 100% (ACU) - 76% (FreedomWorks)
Johnson (WI) - 2016 - 87% (Average) - 89% (Heritage) - 87% (CFG) - 96% (ACU) - 77% (FreedomWorks)
Grassley (IA) - 2016 - 86% (Average) - 82% (Heritage) - 86% (CFG) - 88% (ACU) - 86% (FreedomWorks)
Toomey (PA) - 2016 - 85% (Average) - 76% (Heritage) - 93% (CFG) - 80% (ACU) - 91% (FreedomWorks)
Vitter (LA) - 2016 - 81% (Average) - 75% (Heritage) - 78% (CFG) - 79% (ACU) - 91% (FreedomWorks)
Shelby (AL) - 2016 - 76% (Average) - 76% (Heritage) - 82% (CFG) - 76% (ACU) - 68% (FreedomWorks)
Coats (IN) - 2016 - 73% (Average) - 70% (Heritage) - 75% (CFG) - 83% (ACU) - 65% (FreedomWorks)
Thune (SD) - 2016 - 73% (Average) - 65% (Heritage) - 80% (CFG) - 88% (ACU) - 59% (FreedomWorks)
Moran (KS) - 2016 - 72% (Average) - 66% (Heritage) - 75% (CFG) - 80% (ACU) - 67% (FreedomWorks)
Burr (NC) - 2016 - 70% (Average) - 62% (Heritage) - 67% (CFG) - 84% (ACU) - 67% (FreedomWorks)
Boozman (AR) - 2016 - 69% (Average) - 71% (Heritage) - 70% (CFG) - 80% (ACU) - 55% (FreedomWorks)
Ayotte (NH) - 2016 - 67% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 79% (CFG) - 68% (ACU) - 64% (FreedomWorks)
Portman (OH) - 2016 - 64% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 71% (CFG) - 64% (ACU) - 64% (FreedomWorks)
Blunt (MO) - 2016 - 59% (Average) - 57% (Heritage) - 67% (CFG) - 71% (ACU) - 41% (FreedomWorks)
Kirk (IL) - 2016 - 55% (Average) - 44% (Heritage) - 74% (CFG) - 44% (ACU) - 59% (FreedomWorks)
Isakson (GA) - 2016 - 54% (Average) - 54% (Heritage) - 59% (CFG) - 54% (ACU) - 50% (FreedomWorks)
McCain (AZ) - 2016 - 54% (Average) - 43% (Heritage) - 71% (CFG) - 52% (ACU) - 48% (FreedomWorks)
Hoeven (ND) - 2016 - 51% (Average) - 44% (Heritage) - 58% (CFG) - 60% (ACU) - 41% (FreedomWorks)
Murkowski (AK) - 2016 - 41% (Average) - 36% (Heritage) - 52% (CFG) - 38% (ACU) - 36% (FreedomWorks)
Those are all weak showings for long standing incumbents, expecially anthing below 60%. If there had been better known and better financed primary challengers, four of them would have been defeated, and maybe all six.
But it’s tough to get well known individuals to challenge these entrenched incumbents.
The electorate can blame NOBODY but themselves.
“But its tough to get well known individuals to challenge these entrenched incumbents.”
Unknowns getting 40%+ against well-known, established incumbents should change that!
Open Seat | Retiree | GOP Nominee | |||
Republicans - 3 seats | |||||
Georgia | Saxby Chambliss (70), 2 terms | David Purdue | Tea Party defeats establishment | ||
Nebraska | Mike Johanns (62), 1 term | Ben Sasse | Tea Party backed Cruz/Palin | ||
Oklahoma | Tom Coburn (65), 2 terms | James Lanford | Defeated Tea Party Backed T.W. Shanon | ||
Democrats - 5 seats | |||||
Iowa | Tom Harkin (74), 5 terms | Joni Ernst | Tea Party | ||
Michigan | Carl Levin (79), 6 terms | Terri Land | Tea Party | ||
Montana | Max Baucus (71), 6 terms | Steve Daines | Tea Party from US HOUSE | ||
South Dakota | Tim Johnson (67), 3 terms | Mike Rounds | TEA Party was nuetral in race | ||
West Virginia | Jay Rockefeller (76), 5 terms | Shelley Moore Capito | Not typically supported by Tea/Conservatives- no Tea opposition | ||
Crowded primary races will save an incumbent every time.
Now the GOP-e will see what we already know.
The Rats have been working behind the scenes to prop up weak GOP Senators to take them out in Nov.
I suspect we will loose 3 seats which should have been sure things.
All thanks to Rove and McCain.
Interesting. Are there Tea Party types for the Pubbie nominees to replace them?
Pro amnesty Tillis (46% in primary) is probably going to lose due to third party vote and Hagan being all over the place on immigration.
Ayotte, McCain, Hoeven and Mark Kirk should be prime targets.
Scott Brown’s well funded campaign against Shaheen will be identical to the Tea Party attacking Ayotte.
Conservatives DeMint(last time he ran), Inhofe, Scott and Risch got 80% or more.
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