[cicero2k]

Obama will get Washington, Oregon, California, NY, NJ, and VT. That is all.

Perhaps NM MA and CN also.

In other words, the Kool-aid drinkers.

[Pollster1]

Obama will get Washington, Oregon, California, NY, NJ, and VT. That is all. Perhaps NM MA and CN also.

If Obama carries the eleven largest states, he wins, even if we carry the remaining 46 states. That's not realistic with TX one of our biggest states, but he only needs about a dozen, even without TX.