Posted on 03/05/2010 10:40:40 PM PST by bruinbirdman
The national weather service has until now published an outlook for the country's weather three months in advance.
But after predicting a "barbecue summer", before a wet July, and a "mild winter", before heavy snowfall and the coldest winter temperatures in 30 years, the seasonal forecast has been quietly ditched.
Instead the Met Office will give a monthly outlook that is updated every week.
Dave Britton, of the Met Office, admitted last night that it was just too difficult to give an accurate forecast for the seasons using the current science.
"Although we can identify general patterns of weather, the science does not exist to allow an exact forecast beyond five days, or to absolutely promise a certain type of weather.
"As a result, 'seasonal forecasts' cannot be as precise as our short-term forecast," he said.
The official spring equinox is on March 21 but yesterday crocuses were in full blown at Kew Gardens in south west London, a sign perhaps that in nature spring has already arrived.
The Royal Horticultural Society has predicted a spectacular display of colour this year because the cold weather has kept the flowers back.
The Met Office said it decided to change its forecasting approach after carrying out customer research.
It said the UK is one of the hardest places to provide forecasts for due to its "size and location", making it "very hard to forecast much beyond a week".
However, it claimed its short-term forecasts are "extremely accurate".
The Met Office, based at Exeter in Devon, added that it would work towards developing the science of long range forecasting.
(Excerpt) Read more at telegraph.co.uk ...
“Dave Britton, of the Met Office, admitted last night that it was just too difficult to give an accurate forecast for the seasons using the current science. “
But they have no problem “predicting” what’s going to happen 20, 30, 40 years from now.
What frauds they are!!
We’re doomed!
So they might get the next month right ?
Weather forecasting and observing is entirely different from climatology.
The UK Meteorology office, the NOAA weather office, and the Canadian Meteorology Department along with Weather departments all over the world do a superior job for aviation operations.
....Bob
That has beat the britches off of the forecasters every time. (Cheaper, too.)
Louise Gray and Geoffrey Lean are a pair of the Telegraph’s lightweight, washed up AGW alarmist. James Delingpole is their terrific skeptic. The commentary to the Telegraph’s articles is pretty good. A lot of dry British humor about the climate fraud.
“Weather forecasting and observing is entirely different from climatology.
The UK Meteorology office, the NOAA weather office, and the Canadian Meteorology Department along with Weather departments all over the world do a superior job for aviation operations.”
Then maybe they should stick to short term weather forecasting and stay out of climate predictions.
“Then maybe they should stick to short term weather forecasting and stay out of climate predictions.”
Wow, you did read the article. It was all about how the Met office was going out of the long range weather forecasting business.
I wish NOAA would quit giving these guesses out of the hurricane season.
One real success for NOAA is the el nina / la nina forecasts. By observing the temperatures of the Pacific ocean, they can make some pretty accurate estimates of future weather trends in the mid west.
Oh, and BTW, NOAA collects climatological data, collates it and publishes it. You can buy their products. It is the AGW nuts that have perverted the science for their own gain.
....Bob
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