Posted on 09/24/2009 7:37:14 AM PDT by madison10
Unlike the "legitimate bull markets" of many foreign markets, Peter Schiff believes the U.S. is merely experiencing a "rally in a bear market," and is lagging the rest of the world "for a reason."
The worst is not over, according to Euro Pacific Capital's Schiff, who predicts the Dow will fall another 90% from current levels when measured against gold.
A longtime dollar bear and gold bull, he foresees gold hitting $5000 per ounce "in the next couple of years," and predicts the Dow and gold will trade on a one-to-one ratio vs. the current level of around 9.7-to-1.
Schiff believes gold is currently "climbing a wall of worry" but will eventually become as hot as tech stocks in 1999 and start moving up $100 per day.
Schiff's forecast is based on his view the U.S. dollar is going to collapse under the weight of our massive deficit and reckless policies of the Obama administration, which he compares to the massive spending programs of the 1960s, which paved the way for gold's ascent in the 1970s. "Obama is making the same mistakes as Bush, but he's doing them on a grander scale," says Schiff, who is running for U.S. Senate in Connecticut as a Republican...
(Excerpt) Read more at finance.yahoo.com ...
Well. There goes the US dollar. Only thing that gives me hope is this, if the dollar devalues too much it will make out China debt worthless. Bawahahaha Thats would almost be funny if it weren’t for other certain other side effects, like beggaring Americans.... /wrist. There never is a win for the little guy with Democrats in power.
don't laugh...I'm not rich enough to afford gold but I did buy 150# of sugar recently....and salt?....well, I've got at least 10 #...lol
It is certain China is accumulating gold. But as I said they own a lot of gold mines. No one knows if the Chinese are buying on the open markets.
Can you recommend some foreign-market ETFs? (Not the foreign currency ones - I have some of those.)
EWZ - Brazil
FXI - China
EWA - Australia
Quite volatile, and if world dives into depression, none will do well.
Gold will sink below $800/oz. well before it ever sees even $1,200.
Peter is not seeing the tremendous amount of credit destruction going on with the other side of our economy's ledger.
The amount of new debt being created by the Federal government pales in comparison.
Deflation is here to stay for quite some time - and it will most likely be severe.
Gold at $800 in 1980 was a panic, it ran down later to $250. Silver also bubbled, as the ill-fated Hunt brothers tried to corner the market - went to $50 an ounce, then collapsed, as gobs of silver turned out of the woodwork, so to speak - zillions of people lined up to turn their silverware, candelabras, baby rattles, silver what have you's into $s.
It would have been a great time to buy 30 year treasuries then, getting up to about an 18% yield. But who knew?
Oh, yeah, sure. A panic, a bubble. I’m not sure that we’re in disagreement. Gold could hit $5,000 an ounce, Dow at 5000, Silver at $200 an ounce.
I wouldn’t expect that Gold and Silver would stay at their highs for very long.
But I definitely wouldn’t rule out a mania, bubble or panic which drives up gold and silver really high for a short amount of time.
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