Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby Poll: Final: Obama in Double-Digit Lead, 54% to 43%
UTICA, New York - Democrat Barack Obama has increased his lead to 11.4 points over Republican John McCain in the latest Reuters/C-SPAN/Zogby daily tracking poll -- up from a 7.1 point advantage in yesterday's report. The final tally now stands at 54.1% for Obama compared to 42.7% for McCain.
Pollster John Zogby: "Obviously anything can happen on Election Day, but Americans want change and it seems very clear that the historic candidacy of Sen. Obama defines that change."
|
Final Tally |
Nov. 3 |
|
Obama |
54.1% |
|
McCain |
42.7% |
|
Other |
3.1% |
|
Week Four Three-Day Tracking Poll |
11-2 |
11-1 |
10-31 |
10-30 |
10-29 |
10-28 |
10-27 |
|
Obama |
50.9% |
49.5% |
49.1% |
50.1% |
50.2% |
49.1% |
49.0% |
|
McCain |
43.8% |
43.8% |
44.1% |
43.1% |
43.3% |
44.4% |
44.7% |
|
Others/Not sure |
5.3% |
6.7% |
6.8% |
6.8% |
6.5% |
6.5% |
6.3% |
|
Week Three Three-Day Tracking Poll |
10-26 |
10-25 |
10-24 |
10-23 |
10-22 |
10-21 |
10-20 |
|
Obama |
49.9% |
49.4% |
51.1% |
51.3% |
52.2% |
51.6% |
50.3% |
|
McCain |
45.1% |
44.1% |
41.6% |
41.0% |
40.3% |
42.0% |
42.4% |
|
Others/Not sure |
4.9% |
6.6% |
7.3% |
7.7% |
7.5% |
6.4% |
7.3% |
|
Week Two Three-Day Tracking Poll |
10-19 |
10-18 |
10-17 |
10-16 |
10-15 |
10-14 |
10-13 |
|
Obama |
49.8% |
47.8% |
48.3% |
48.7% |
49.0% |
48.2% |
49.0% |
|
McCain |
44.4% |
45.1% |
44.4% |
43.7% |
43.5% |
44.4% |
42.8% |
|
Others/Not sure |
5.8% |
7.1% |
7.3% |
7.6% |
7.5% |
7.4% |
8.2% |
|
Week One Three-Day Tracking Poll |
10-12 |
10-11 |
10-10 |
10-9 |
10-8 |
10-7 |
10-6 |
|
Obama |
47.9% |
48.9% |
47.6% |
47.6% |
47.8% |
47.1% |
47.7% |
|
McCain |
43.6% |
42.8% |
43.8% |
43.4% |
44.2% |
45.2% |
45.3% |
|
Others/Not sure |
8.5% |
8.3% |
8.6% |
9.0% |
8.0% |
7.7% |
7.0% |
If this turns out to be the stunning victory for Obama, he will have done it with large leads among independents (24 points), women (20 points), moderates (32%) and those who registered to vote in the last six months (30 points). He also wins 91% support from Democrats and leads in nearly every age group with the exception of those age 55 to 69, where McCain leads by just a half point.
McCain holds the support of 85% of Republicans and 73% of conservatives. He also leads by 7 points among whites.
The three-day rolling tracking poll included 1,226 likely voters - about 400 interviews per 24-hour polling period (each polling period begins and ends at 5 p.m. Eastern daily, with the exception of tonight's polling, which ended at 9 p.m.) - and was conducted Nov. 1-3, 2008. It carries a margin of error of +/- 2.9 percentage points. Interviews were conducted using live telephone interviewers in Zogby's in-house call center in Upstate New York.
How Our Daily Tracking Poll Works
This is the final daily tracking telephone poll. With each new day of responses of likely voters that are folded into the poll, the oldest third of the survey sample is removed, so the poll "tracks" changes in voter attitudes following events and developments in the race. Keep up-to-date with the latest in political polling by visiting www.zogby.com.
For a complete methodological statement on this survey, please visit:
http://www.zogby.com/methodology/readmeth.dbm?ID=1376 (11/4/2008)
McCain has support of 85% of Republicans and 73% of Conservatives
______________
This sounds like FR a few months ago, including me. Let’s hope no patriotic Conservative fails to vote against Obama tomorrow. Say no to Socialism.
Besides, I want to get McCain elected so we can bash him for the next four years.