Troll!!
Just kidding.
Boy, that one was at what, 1.5% just two days ago. Now it is at 7%?
Notice how they allocate undecideds. Of the 6% remaining undecideds they allocate 4% going to Obama, 1.9% going to McCain. The common wisdom is that McCain gets most of the undecideds, but that is not shared by any of the pollsters, even those with very favorable turnout models for McCain.
I think the undecideds will probably go 50-50 to each candidate or slightly towards McCain 60-40. But I can see where IBD/TIPP is coming from here. Part of the reason IBD went with the allocation they are applying is most likely that they believe that many of the undecideds (mostly white, older voters) simply won’t end up voting at all, remain undecided for the duration, so then Obama picks up many of the remaining undecideds by default in a “wanting to catch the wave and vote for the perceived winner” move, a not so uncommon behavior of late deciders in races with two non-incumbents.