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To: tatown
I've been wondering something similar. Back in the day, I worked alot with survey research data. People just don't understand how the assumptions which underlie the analysis affect the outcome. I know Freepers know this. But consider Obi Wan's more subtle point.

Suppose your a pollster for, say, Ohio. You look at the registration numbers to set your targets for polling and see that 200,000 more Democrats are registered than in 2004. You adjust the percent of Democrats upward accordingly to reflect this change in your polling population. You take your poll and find Obama with a 4% lead, release your results and head out to dinner.

But there's a problem. The 200,000 additional registered Democrats were signed up by ACORN and about 175,000 of them are fake -fake regestrants falsified by some ex-con who was getting paid $5 a signature.

Come election day, "Mr. Mickey Mouse," "Mr. Osama B. Ladin" et. al. don't show up at the polls. Suddenly, that 4 point lead is a 4 point deficit.

In other words, what if the Left is right. What if there has been massive voter registration fraud, but that's all there is. Obama may have just spent the last days of the campaign wasting time in places that weren't that important(Arizona, for example) when he should have been in states where his lead didn't really exist.

And all because he was misled by registration drives conducted by his own people.

It would be one heck of an irony.

12 posted on 11/03/2008 6:55:04 PM PST by AlguyA
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To: AlguyA

I keep meeting and talking with Democrat after Democrat who is NOT voting for Obama.

These Democrats have already voted for McCain or intend to, even though they loathe Republicans. It is because they admire and trust McCain and the qualities he possesses.

Why? Because Obama is a liar, a cheat, believes our Constitution is flawed, and dislikes everything about the United States.

Just because there are more Democrats than Republicans voting, doesn’t mean they are all voting for Obama.


20 posted on 11/03/2008 11:04:11 PM PST by SatinDoll (NO FOREIGN NATIONALS AS OUR PRESIDENT!!)
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