Posted on 10/06/2008 10:17:34 AM PDT by tatown
Plus, they were saying the poll numbers post VP debate wouldn’t be out until tomorrow......let’s hope for a boost from Sarah’s awesome debate against Biden! Also, I’m curious as to what the polls said one month out from the Bush/Kerry election. Wasn’t Kerry ahead by about 8?
McCain has to be within 4pct for me to watch on Election night. Anything more than that and I’m going to take a few drinks and go to bed early with an ice pack on my forehead.
See #117.
Get ready.
Obama is going to get 95%, 96% of the black vote, this you can take to the bank.
Bigger problem - he is getting 70+% of Latino vote, beating McCain by more than 2:1.
W got 42% or so of Latino vote in 2004, and this was a big factor in his reelection. Rove realized that as a top priority.
If the GOP candidate cannot get to 35% with Latinos - that spells big trouble. Especially since their share of vote will rise rapidly in the next 20 years, once 1st generation immigrants get citizenship, and their kids reach voting age.
My lying eyes... Poor Dems.
Ok, point taken. However I think we really are behind now. 8 points? Maybe, maybe not. The weightings they use do favor Dem by a wide margin however I think there is a case for the GOP being less popular than 2006 and not more. I could be wrong but look at the economy. Eveyone blames it on Bush and the GOP. Intellectually I can’t see McCain ahead until he gets an economic agenda out there, and differentiates himself widely from Bush (I didn’t think he’d have to do this until now). The good news is I think he will have it out tomorrow for the debate.
Thanks
The polling data for the VP debate is due out on Tuesday according to Fox News. I don’t think these numbers have her preformance included.
I’d love to see some of those buses checked out.
You are welcome , I am in a bad mood today as the Obama pollsters continue to try and depress GOP voters.
Tatown, in your opinion, where does Obama need to be in the RCP average to negate the Bradley Effect?
I say 8%. anybody else?
0%. His financial advantage in GOTV operation negates possible Bradley effect, if any.
I have no idea....wish I did though.
Are they as happy at Kos and DU as we are bummed? I haven’t had the heart to check.
Can McCain explain the housing crisis this way:
Its socialism pure and simple — the government forced banks to offer loans to people who could not qualify, or pay back the loans. The housing crisis is a failure of socialism. Socialism has failed in America.
We can not keep throwing money away like Senator Obama wants to do. We must cut back these socialist programs immediately, and spur economic growth.
“Bigger problem - he is getting 70+% of Latino vote, beating McCain by more than 2:1.”
So much for the “latinos are racist” argument. Let’s face it: they want a minority President more than they don’t want a black President. The sad part is that whites are the ones who split their votes. All the minority groups break strongly DEM now. Beyond this election we are facing nothing short of a demographic nightmare. I’m extremely worried about the long term future of my Party and conservatism. Obama will do nothing to secure the borders.
“up the numbers and if the Obama-Messiah doesn’t have at least 12-15 in poll lead by election day he is toast.”
Are you serious? Obama will lose the election unless he is at least 12 to 15% ahead in the polls on election day? What is the basis of this comment?
Sure. That would be an excellent start.
“That is why I find this poll and all polls lately suspect...that VP was the highest rated ever...certainly some movement should have been seen in the MCCAIN Camp.”
The debate was probably seen as a tie overall, which is why the numbers aren’t moving. Republicans and Democrats supported their VP candidate, but Independents seem not moved by either, or confirmed by their initial choice.
You are very wrong and naive.
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