...and if Maine is any indication, the voting may well turn out somewhat different than what they expect.
The math here is brutal - McCain is ahead in winner take all states, Romney is ahead in proportional states.
Wouldn’t you love to see the headline:
“Pollsters Have Egg on Face...Again”
They probably wouldn’t waste the ink it would take to point out their stupidity. Just let the voters vote!
Today the WSJ ran an article about the secret groups that are funding Huckabee and Obama, no mention of McCain. However, the man who is funding the PAC, Trust Huckabee, which ran the Florida push polls, has closer ties to McCain than to Huckabee. It's a financier, named Charles Lindner.
See if this rings any bells:
The Keating One,' and Carl Lindner From 1981—the year before John McCain ran for U.S. Congress—until the early 1990s, the former Navy pilot was totally beholden to junk bond swindler Charles Keating for his political fortunes. When the S&L scandal exploded and Federal prosecutors were breathing down Keating's neck, it was McCain who tried to bully Federal regulators into backing off. While the affair became known as the "Keating Five" scandal, none of the other members of the Senate and House implicated in the ethics violations, were as closely tied to Keating as John McCain.
And Charles Keating was no "loan assassin." He was but one player in a larger organized crime apparatus that ran the $200 billion-plus rip-off, in what may have been the biggest actual RICO (racketeering) scheme ever.
Between 1959 and the late 1980s, Charles Keating was the business partner of Carl Lindner, the Cincinnati, Ohio-based financier who would be one of the central figures in the $200 billion S&L rip-off. In 1959, Lindner and Keating co-founded American Financial Corporation (AFC). Keating served as the mortgage and insurance company's general counsel, and later as vice president.
Between 1974 and 1976, Lindner and Keating engineered a series of stock purchases and mergers with some of the leading figures in the Lansky crime syndicate—who had followed the Bronfman family recipe, and gone from "rags, to rackets, to riches, to respectability."
The above is a listing of all of the polls, state-by-state.
At the bottom is a chart that has them summarized by primary date.
IMHO there are 3 keys for Romney:
Win the winner take all state of Missouri.
Win (even by 1%) California.
Get his total delegate count(including the ones he already has) to 500 while keeping McCains totals to stay in the 600’s. (601-699).
701 to 399 looks horrible
699-501 looks like a two man race.