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Hurricane Dean Live Thread Part III
NOAA/NHC ^ | 20 August 2007 | NOAA/NHC

Posted on 08/20/2007 8:12:21 AM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous Hurricane Dean is steaming toward the Yucatan Peninsula today, packing winds over 150 mph. The Hurricane Hunter aircraft aborted its mission Monday morning due to equipment problems. The storm is expected to attain catastrophic Category 5 status today. The Cayman Islands have been spared the brunt of the storm's winds as Dean passed 125 miles south of Grand Cayman.

Jamaica continues to assess damage to its infrastructure after Dean uprooted trees, knocked down power lines, stripped off roofs, and dumped up to 20 inches of rain, causing mudslides in the mountains. The government of Jamaica has declared a month-long state of emergency. Haiti has reported four fatalities. The Dominican Republic reported a 20ft storm surge. Martinique lost its banana crops. Additional details are scarce at this point due to extensive power outages.

Alcoa suspended aluminum production in Jamaica. Mexico evacuated thousands of workers from oil platforms. Texas mobilized the National Guard, opened emergency operations centers and moved inmates inland from three prisons in advance of the storm.

Space shuttle Endeavour is returning home Tuesday, a day early due to Hurricane Dean.

In other storm news, the remnants of Tropical Storm Erin caused massive rains and flooding in Oklahoma Sunday. Two people have drowned, and three are reported missing at this time.

Public Advisories Updated every three hours.

Tropical Storm Discussion Updated every six hours

Three Day Tracking Map

Storm Track Archive Nice animated progression of 5 day forecast tracks

Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico

Buoy Data West Caribbean

Storm Model Tracks

Storm Surge graphic

Satellite Images

Visible Satellite Still Image

IR Image

WV Image

Cancun Radar Caution- very prone to overload with high traffic

Additional Resources:

Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City
Cayman One Radio Nice music mix, and hourly news

Hurricane Dean Thread II
Hurricane Dean Thread I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: Mexico
KEYWORDS: dean; hurricane; hurricanedean; mexico
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To: 1COUNTER-MORTER-68

Bet they’ll be flyin’ *howler* monkeys, too! Didja see my monkey story to CindyDawg above?


361 posted on 08/20/2007 6:06:33 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: Rte66
No, I wasn’t there. I did go to school with Nolan Ryan though. He was a big kid in Jr High though and I don’t remember him.
362 posted on 08/20/2007 6:06:45 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: nwctwx
I learn allot from your weather board and have been following the continuing adventures of “Josh”. Thanks for your wisdom and efforts.
363 posted on 08/20/2007 6:07:34 PM PDT by mcshot ("Bad Wood! Bad wood needs to be replaced with good wood" Arachnophobia)
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To: steveegg; NautiNurse; CindyDawg

Finally got here, long day.


364 posted on 08/20/2007 6:08:21 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: steveegg
Uh oh...My concern is mostly with the poor, uneducated people who don't have a clue what devastation can occur with a Force 5 Hurricane and feel comfortable riding it out. God be with them.

sw

365 posted on 08/20/2007 6:08:36 PM PDT by spectre (Spectre's wife)
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To: RDTF

Now that was a guy enjoying a storm. lol


366 posted on 08/20/2007 6:10:05 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: Rte66

Thanks for the info.

I just found an interesting youtube tourist video about Chetumal. We can get a better idea about this town after seeing it. I hate to say, It Will look much different tomorrow.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=pH02Poq1R6M


367 posted on 08/20/2007 6:11:56 PM PDT by HollyB
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To: SE Mom

Harrigan’s coverage in Iraq was great. However, nobody should be outside in a Cat 5 hurricane. During one of the major ‘05 storms, he narrowly missed being filleted by a large flying piece of sheet metal. At that point, he was frightened enough that he tried to get inside. The locals did not want to breach the building structure by opening the door to let him in. I don’t blame them a bit.


368 posted on 08/20/2007 6:12:47 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: Rte66

In Belize, they call them howla’ monkeys.


369 posted on 08/20/2007 6:14:21 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: Rte66
Mmmmm, monkey tastes good!

That's how HIV crossed the species....

370 posted on 08/20/2007 6:16:00 PM PDT by paulat (I'd rather spend my vote on someone who CAN ACTUALLY BE ELECTED)
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To: Rte66

LOL,,,Fo’Sho,,,;0)


371 posted on 08/20/2007 6:16:17 PM PDT by 1COUNTER-MORTER-68 (THROWING ANOTHER BULLET-RIDDLED TV IN THE PILE OUT BACK~~~~~)
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To: NautiNurse

I could hardly watch him. I just knew he was fixing to get it, and then he got locked out.


372 posted on 08/20/2007 6:16:44 PM PDT by CindyDawg
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To: NautiNurse

I always get a kick out of the weather reporters chastising the surfers when they themselves are out in the same storm.


373 posted on 08/20/2007 6:16:53 PM PDT by SouthTexas
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To: spectre

If they live in Chetumal, they won’t be allowed to ride it out at home. Every person in the city has been put into shelters and the power was turned off at 7PM.

Out in the country, things might be different, but I’m sure the word has spread. I just saw footage of stores in Tulum all boarded up and closed, too.


374 posted on 08/20/2007 6:17:58 PM PDT by Rte66
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To: NautiNurse

I remember those videos of Steve in 05. They were hilarious/frightening...

He’s one of the good guys.


375 posted on 08/20/2007 6:19:04 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet -Fred'08)
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To: spectre

There’s miscellaneous small towns as well that I don’t have population figures for. Most of them do not appear to be right up against the coast, though Google Earth does not have good resolution in the area.


376 posted on 08/20/2007 6:19:25 PM PDT by steveegg (I am John Doe, and a monthly donor)
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To: NautiNurse

Going to be a long night for those folks.


377 posted on 08/20/2007 6:20:16 PM PDT by SE Mom (Proud mom of an Iraq war combat vet -Fred'08)
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To: CindyDawg
I just knew he was fixing to get it, and then he got locked out.

Be one heck of an irony if he survives being the captive of murdering terrorists only to get killed doing the weather. Hope he has more sense now than two years ago!

378 posted on 08/20/2007 6:21:00 PM PDT by Lucius Cornelius Sulla (A person who does not want the best for America)
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To: HollyB; Sender

Excellent find. Apparently, the higher elevations of Chetumal are not along the coastline. The video showed a very low lying shoreline. Godspeed to the citizens of Chetumal.


379 posted on 08/20/2007 6:22:36 PM PDT by NautiNurse (McClatchy News report: Half the nation's families earn below the median family income)
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To: NautiNurse

Dean kicking Janet out of the top #10?

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_notable_Atlantic_hurricanes

Most intense Atlantic hurricanes
Intensity is measured solely by central pressure
Rank Hurricane Season Min. pressure
1 Wilma 2005 882 mbar (hPa)
2 Gilbert 1988 888 mbar (hPa)
3 “Labor Day” 1935 892 mbar (hPa)
4 Rita 2005 895 mbar (hPa)
5 Allen 1980 899 mbar (hPa)
6 Katrina 2005 902 mbar (hPa)
7 Camille 1969 905 mbar (hPa)
8 Mitch 1998 905 mbar (hPa)
9 Ivan 2004 910 mbar (hPa)
10 Janet 1955 914 mbar (hPa)


380 posted on 08/20/2007 6:24:50 PM PDT by RDTF (Republicans believe every day is July 4th, but Democrats believe every day is April 15th. - Reagan)
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