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To: jim_trent

I’d be willing to lay the imagery out for you here, (have already done so in various other threads) in support for the contentious items on the list, but I understand your position in the engineering community and respect your professionalism and sense of responsibility in abiding by the conventions of same.

I’m not restricted by any of that, but I do hope I’ve been able to convey that my speculations are just that, best guesses, based on the admittedly limited pool of available data, not conclusive by any means.

Although I’m reasonably confident your posted material on the political claims that we won’t see a conclusive report was done so tongue in cheek, it wouldn’t be the first time a final report missed some aspect of a catastrophe. This has little to do with politics, it’s the nature of the situation. The investigating authorities do not have carte blanche, and are not freed from other duties and projects to concentrate solely on this one accident. Inspection time, analysis time, even processing time on large computers in simulation are all finite and limited resources.

Both the FEMA and NIST reports on the WTC collpase were less than perfect and missed some significant connections that were available. In plotting the available O2 budget for the fires, they failed to consider supplies located on floors away from the impact zone, even though burned victims in those areas make it clear that the initial fireball opened those areas to venting which could and probably did affect the overall thermal loads.

A significant collapse of several stories worth of floor systems on the northwest corner of Tower One several minuites before the onset of progressive collapse was not thoroughly analyzed in the dynamics of gravity load transfers which, along with the buckling of the Vierendiel truss structure of the south perimeter wall, led to the upper section settling almost wholly onto a very few core columns and initiating the pancake sequence.

The ASCE reports on the Louisiana Hurricane Protection levees spectacularly omitted the direct role subsidence played in the breaching of the St. Bernard Primary Protection systems.

These elements were not omitted (or concealed) for political reasons, they necessarily would have been speculative to some extent, and there was simply a limited budget that did not permit unlimited, open-spectrum analysis.

If the final report on the I35W bridge collpase does not fully answer all of our questions, it will be for similar reasons, and I fully expect that there will be enough data included in the report for us to satisfy all of our curiosities.

As to whether or not specific nodes of failure within the systems designed to prevent such disasters are identified and successfully addressed, I will await further developments and just see what happenes.

Thanks for sharing your well situated point of view in the alanysis we have cinducted here, and for some stimulating discussion, and all the best to you in the future.

Next time we cross paths, hoopefully, it will be under better circumstances.


83 posted on 08/13/2007 8:00:10 AM PDT by jeffers
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To: jeffers

I will be following the true experts on this very carefully in the future, whenever they release something — as I am sure you will, too. We can discuss, accept or reject what they say in threads at that time.

The part about politics was only partially tongue-in-cheek. I used to live in Minnesota and drove over this bridge at least weekly. I left MN in about 1979, partly because of the brutal winters (I have chronic lung problems) and partly because the people there were so liberal. I believe at least the liberalism has gotten worse.

Last time I was up there was last winter during a snowstorm — and I drove over this bridge.


89 posted on 08/13/2007 12:27:11 PM PDT by jim_trent
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