Posted on 02/02/2007 4:47:11 PM PST by PhiKapMom
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
New York, Feb 2 -
To:
Team Rudy
From:
Brent Seaborn, Strategy Director
Date:
February 2, 2007
Re:
Rudy and the Republican Nomination
Over the last month or two there has been a good deal of public opinion polling on the 2008 Republican primary race. I thought it would be helpful to take a step back and take a closer look at how voters – particularly Republican primary voters – feel about Rudy Giuliani and why we think we are well-positioned heading in to the primary season.
Americans Have a Highly Favorable Opinion of Mayor Giuliani
Entering the 2008 primary season, Rudy Giuliani is uniquely positioned among potential Republican candidates because of his extremely high favorability ratings. Recent public opinion polling shows Mayor Giuliani with 61% approval among adults across the country – according to the ABC News/Washington Post poll (Jan. 16-19, 2007). The well respected, bipartisan Battleground Poll (Jan 8-11, 2007) shows the Mayor with 65% favorability among likely voters. More importantly, Mayor Giuliani shows an 81% favorable rating among Republicans and only 10% with an unfavorable opinion.
According to the Battleground poll, Mayor Giuliani also has surprisingly high favorability ratings beyond the base:
In an even more recent poll, Gallup (Jan. 25-28, 2007) finds Mayor Giuliani also leads among Republicans on 7 of 10 key issues including terrorism, the economy, healthcare and fighting crime. He also leads on 11 of 15 key candidate attributes – including “better understands the problems faced by ordinary Americans”, “would manage government more effectively” and what I believe to be the single most important factor – “is the stronger leader.”
In sum, while we fully expect these polls to tighten in the months and weeks to come, Republican voters genuinely know and like Rudy Giuliani.
The Mayor Performs Well in Opinion Polls
The Mayor’s exceptionally strong approval ratings also translate in to an advantage on Republican primary ballot tests. In 11 of 13 ballot tests in respected national public opinion polls [Fox News, Newsweek, Time Gallup, CNN, NBC/Wall Street Journal, ABC/Washington Post] since last November, Mayor Giuliani has a lead – in fact, his lead is on average, more than 5-points over the next closest candidate. And his ballot strength began to trend upward after the 2006 midterm elections.
Mayor Giuliani Leads in Key 2008 Primary States
Mayor Giuliani also leads in a series of other states that will likely prove critical in the 2008 Republican primary:
|
State |
Mayor Giuliani |
Closest Competitor |
Source |
| California | 33% | 19% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 11-17 |
| Florida | 30% | 16% (Gingrich) | ARG - Jan. 4-9 |
| Illinois | 33% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-14 |
| Michigan | 34% | 24% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 4-7 |
| Nevada | 31% | 25% (McCain) | ARG - Dec. 19-23, ‘06 |
| New Jersey | 39% | 21% (McCain) | Quinnipiac – Jan. 16-22 |
| North Carolina | 34% | 26% (McCain) | ARG - Jan. 11-15 |
| Ohio | 30% | 22% (McCain) | Quinnipiac - Jan. 23-28 |
| Pennsylvania | 35% | 25% (McCain) | ARG Jan. 4-8 |
| Texas | 28% | 26% (McCain) | Baselice Jan. 17-21 |
Mayor Giuliani’s favorable public opinion stems not only from his extraordinary leadership in the aftermath of the 9/11 attacks and in the uncertainty that followed, but also from a remarkably strong record of accomplishments in fighting crime and turning around New York City’s economy in the 1990’s.
Americans are anxious for fresh Republican leadership on a range of issues. Our voters are drawn to the leadership strength of a candidate during an election. Therefore, as we move forward with exploring a run for President and as we continue to share the Mayor’s story of strong leadership and Reagan-like optimism and vision, we hope to see continued growth in our foundation of support.
Good, he held a gay pride recieption. I don't care. Gays don't affect my life or yours and the President has no power over marriage and can't interfer in gays' personal lives. If only you worried about terrorists as much as you did gays.
By using the term RINO then I assume you think that 100% of "real Republicans" agree 100% of the time. Is this a fair assumption?
Since they cannot refute the facts about their RINO, they resort to name-calling and personal attacks. Sad.
If Rudy is a Rhino...he'll put the unihorn squarely up the rear of the enemies of the U.S. of A.
LOL. Logic is clearly not your strong suit, is it? Gun-grabbing, cross-dressing babykillers are not mainstream GOP. Got it?
It's a liberal-run, northeast corridor, "Peoples Republic" where the big government bureaucrats, with a (D) OR an (R) after their names run roughshod over the sheeple that stupidly keep electing them...
It's as if the sheeple are saying, OVER & OVER again...
PLEASE Mr. Mayor rudy/bloomberg/dinkins/koch...
PLEASE continue to subjugate me and my family and friends.
PLEASE RAPE us for your exorbitant taxes.
PLEASE rape us of our 2nd Amendment rights.
PLEASE do what you will for the common "good" here in our hell-hole-of-a-city.
And on and on.
Ignorant fools.
You can HAVE RINO-rudy and his ilk, but plaease don't push his kind on the rest of us here in America.
Please share.
Smart move! :)
Type in Hunter and defense contracts and see what you come up with.
Only reason I knew anything about it was money was taken from Tinker AFB for a program that DoD didn't want. That led me to start searching more after he announced.
What military experience does your crossdressing candidate have?
I'll admit his past gun stances are bothersome but I think he'll say that what's good for NYC isn't good for all of America and won't push for gun control. Are Democrats pushing for gun control now that they have control of Congress? No. And nobody has pushed for gun control since Gore lost the election in 2000. Everyone knows its a losing issue and I don't see any push for gun control by anybody in the near future.
Guns? Rudy is a big time, demagogic, gun banner. Worse than Al Gore, for sure. In fact if the Dems run a more pro-Gun candidate than the R's I will very closely consider voting for that candidate.
Let's put it this way -- I had a smile on my face when posting! :)
The same amount Ronald Reagan had. Logic isn't your strong suit is it?
Boo hoo...wait a minute. I'm not a Democrat or an Appeasor.
Rudy's gonna kick some islamic fanny...I'm not sad. I am proud...we're gonna win.
He cleaned up NYC...he'll clean up the rest of the World.
See Post 113.
Shes in the Zone. See 65
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