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When Will the Tsunami of Foreclosures Hit?
MSN.com Real Estate ^ | 9/5/2006 | Charles DuBow

Posted on 09/05/2006 2:01:48 PM PDT by ex-Texan

With millions of adjustable-rate mortgages about to reset this fall, experts expect a wave of foreclosures by Americans in every income bracket. Here's why they could soar in late 2006 and beyond:

Those easy-mortgage chickens are coming home to roost.

This fall the adjustable-rate mortgages (ARMs) that millions of Americans took out during the recent housing boom will be reset, and many homeowners will see their monthly mortgage payments shoot up by as much as 20%. According to the Mortgage Bankers Association, of all mortgages financed in 2005, 36% were ARMs -- the highest ever.

This is a matter of concern because ARMs are typically initially made at a lower rate and then increase after a fixed period of time, usually one, three, five, seven or 10 years, after which the rate will more closely reflect current rates. As interest rates increase, mortgage payments increase. Between $400 billion and $500 billion in ARMs are due to be reset by the end of 2006. The following year will be even more dramatic, when more than $1.5 trillion will be reset.

For many Americans, this is scary news, if hardly unexpected. * * * [M]any of them are finding themselves stuck in a house they may soon no longer be able to afford, and, as the real estate market peters out, there's little they can do about it. * * *

Unprecedented situation:

* * * A major concern is that the number of ARMs issued at subprime rates to borrowers with lower credit ratings is not known. "We know that ARMs default at a higher rate than fixed, and subprimes default at higher rates than primes," says Sharga. "Never have so many ARMs reset at the same time. There is no precedent for it."

(Excerpt) Read more at realestate.msn.com ...


TOPICS: Business/Economy; Culture/Society; Editorial; Government
KEYWORDS: alasandalack; andagonyonme; anguish; armlessanddoomed; attentionwhore; bubbles; depression; despair; despondent; doom; doomgloomer; dustbowl; eeyore; gloom; grapesofwrath; helpme; housing; hyperhysterics; iluvwilliegreen; imtomjoad; joebtfsplk; misery; mortgages; pimpmywebsite; realestate; runawayrunaway; sackclothandashes; skyisfalling; slitmywrist; weneedmisery; williegreenismyhero; woeisme
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To: PJ-Comix
Problem is that right now few are buying and many are waiting.

You just defined the psychology of deflation. It hit Japan and lasted ten years. It is entirely possible that the housing market could go into a prolonged deflationary slump, as potential buyers watch and wait for the bottom. Meanwhile, the improvident ( I notice all freepers without exception are real estate geniuses who guessed exactly right every time) will one after another leave the door keys in the mailbox and move back to Buffalo.

141 posted on 09/05/2006 5:21:44 PM PDT by hinckley buzzard
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To: Chode
i guess i'm lucky my house is paid for then...

Mine too..........It aint luck.

142 posted on 09/05/2006 5:37:50 PM PDT by Graybeard58 (Remember and pray for SSgt. Matt Maupin - MIA/POW- Iraq since 04/09/04)
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To: TChris

I keep hearing that if California was a separate country it would be the world's 7th largest economy.


143 posted on 09/05/2006 5:43:04 PM PDT by kcar (The UN sucks)
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To: DCPatriot

--Anyone that elected an ARM vs. fixed over the past 12 years has come out way ahead.

I guess my mortgage company must be a real swell bunch of fellows because they have been trying to get me to switch to an ARM for the last four years or so. They have my best interests in mind I'm sure.


144 posted on 09/05/2006 5:49:08 PM PDT by bkepley
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To: durasell
B) You travel the country, like Santa, dropping enticing flyers into folks' mailboxes tauting wacky mortgages.

Only if Santa's leaving coal! Have you been naughty? >:-)

Because otherwise, Santa leaves gifts you generally like or want! ;-) (But I get it, it's about the traveling...)

145 posted on 09/05/2006 6:42:09 PM PDT by fortunecookie
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To: fortunecookie

I'm still looking for the pony, he's around here somewhere


146 posted on 09/05/2006 6:51:05 PM PDT by durasell (!)
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To: A. Pole

ping...


147 posted on 09/05/2006 6:56:39 PM PDT by Nowhere Man (Pansy: b. 8-19-1987 - d. 8-27-2006, I'll miss you, little princess.... B-()
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To: Moonman62
Why not blame you? You've repeated the same thing for many months.

Months? Try YEARS!

148 posted on 09/05/2006 6:57:40 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: Toddsterpatriot; ex-Texan; Admin Moderator

He has been posting that link to his site for years. If he has been doing it with no problem from the admins for years, I don't see it being a problem now.


149 posted on 09/05/2006 6:58:55 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: durasell
You perform black magic ceremonies naked in your basement with live armadillos and naked loose-limbed dancing every full moon.

Finally something that makes sense

150 posted on 09/05/2006 7:00:01 PM PDT by woofie
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To: EQAndyBuzz
My bet is the day the RATS take over congress.

The first thing they are going to do is close the deficit by retracting all the tax breaks.

And that would require Bush's signature. Not going to happen.

And thats about the only prediction I am willing to make regarding Bush's actions. That he won't raise taxes. Other than that, I think he is capable of almost any crazy scheme.

151 posted on 09/05/2006 7:00:26 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: durasell
I'm still looking for the pony, he's around here somewhere.

Must be next to my puppy, already named, and my dollhouse. ;-)

152 posted on 09/05/2006 7:01:59 PM PDT by fortunecookie
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To: bkepley

LOL!


153 posted on 09/05/2006 7:02:24 PM PDT by DCPatriot ("It aint what you don't know that kills you. It's what you know that aint so" Theodore Sturgeon)
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To: John Jorsett
This is why when I refinanced, I went with a 30-year fixed.

Are you some kind of moron? Why the hell would you do a stupid thing like that?

40 year mortgages are where its at!

And as soon as they come out with a 50, which is just over the horizon, refinance to that!

154 posted on 09/05/2006 7:02:25 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: Phantom Lord

You wouldnt like my 15 year loan?


155 posted on 09/05/2006 7:03:42 PM PDT by woofie
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To: ex-Texan
Smart sales people know when to shut up.

He who talks first loses.

156 posted on 09/05/2006 7:04:08 PM PDT by Phantom Lord (Fall on to your knees for the Phantom Lord)
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To: RockinRight

I've been in every state and several places in most of them and there isn't one place in the country that I would even consider living if the house was free.

I'm staying right in So. Cslif. where my fsmily has been for over 150 years.


157 posted on 09/05/2006 7:20:07 PM PDT by dalereed
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To: dalereed

Feel free to pay a $400,000 premium for that right. It's your freedom and right to do so! It just doesn't make sense to me or many others.


158 posted on 09/05/2006 8:32:40 PM PDT by RockinRight (She rocks my world, and I rock her world.)
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To: dalereed
You wouldn't live here for free?


159 posted on 09/05/2006 8:35:04 PM PDT by RockinRight (She rocks my world, and I rock her world.)
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To: RockinRight

No!


160 posted on 09/05/2006 8:43:16 PM PDT by dalereed
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