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I am waiting to see how this plays out but I think Libby was stupid to talk to reporters about a CIA employee and if he then lied to the FBI and GJ, he is dumb or arrogant and I don't think he is dumb.

Yeah, it was dumb, and he probably realizes that now.

Although, this creates a situation where anyone can lob crap at the Administration from the cover of their (or their spouse's or friend's) CIA status.

I don't think he's dumb either. I think he knew right away that Valerie Plame's role in this thing was extremely important information that he needed to get into the press somehow. He was fighting a media shitstorm that was saying Cheney sent Wilson to Niger and then ignored his report and covered it up. He had to fight that somehow. What better ammunition than the truth - that Wilson wasn't sent by Cheney, but by his own wife??? I'm guessing Libby thought for sure that some enterprising reporter would find this as important as he did and would start digging on the real reason Wilson was sent. He knew Plame wasn't covert under the law and so he could not be prosecuted for telling reporters about her.

I'm also not convinced that Libby did lie to the GJ. Why would he? Why not just say "I can't recall who first told me about Plame" and "I'm not sure who the first reporter was that I talked to, I talked to 100 of them during that time because all of them wanted comment on Wilson's claim that VP Cheney sent him." He could easily have avoided perjury and obstruction charges by just saying he couldn't recall. He insisted under repeated questioning by Fitz that he was telling the truth. Maybe he was! And maybe Mr. Mandy Grunwald wasn't. Which one would have the biggest motive to lie to the grand jury?