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To: js1138

Thanks. A causeless effect is really getting to me, though, and my brain is struggling.

Are there any popularizations out there? Not only was calc a problem for me back in college, now simple computation has become problematic (since a head injury 10 years ago). Thus even a moderately technical approach is probably out of reach. :-(


424 posted on 10/20/2005 9:31:59 AM PDT by From many - one.
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To: From many - one.; longshadow

It's not necessarily easy to describe sans math. Think of it this way: a radioactive atom has a certain probability of decaying in a given interval of time. That probability does not depend in the beginning of the interval, only the length. It's like playing dice with Big Jule; the dice have no spots.

The above model allows us to predict how many atoms of a group will decay within a given interval, but not which ones. (With some statistical error.) It's similar to computing how many people will die in a given municipality, actuaries can give you the number but not the names and addresses.

Actually, mafia actuaries can give you the names and addresses. Quantum mechanics has no mafie actuaries.


493 posted on 10/20/2005 7:37:11 PM PDT by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch ist der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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