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Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part III
NHC - NOAA ^ | 21 September 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 09/21/2005 4:19:11 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Extremely dangerous and large Category Five Hurricane Rita is churning westward across the Gulf of Mexico toward Texas. Air Force Reconnaissance indicated the central pressure has dropped to 904mb, making Rita the fifth most intense hurricane ever in the Atlantic Basin.

Hurricane and Tropical Storm Watches have been issued from Northern Mexico through the South Louisiana coastline. Galveston TX used school buses to evacuate residents. Mandatory and voluntary evacuations are in effect along the Texas coastline.

The following links are self-updating:

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track

Rita Forecast Track Archive
Forecast Models
Buoy Data Western Gulf of Mexico
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Texas
Current Weather Warnings and Watches for Louisiana

Images:

Storm Floater IR Loop
GOM WV Loop
GOM IR Still Image
Visible Storm Floater Still (only visible during daylight hours)
Color Enhanced Atlantic Loop

Streaming Video: (coverage may be intermittent)

KHOU-TV/DT Houston: mms://beloint.wm.llnwd.net/beloint_khou
WWLTV NOLA

Additional Resources:

FReeper Sign In Thread Check in to let us know whether you are staying, going, and when you get there
FReepers Offering Lodging To Rita Evacuees People and/or Pet Friendly FReepers Offering Shelter

Coastal TX Evacuation Maps
KHOU Houston
KTRK ABC News Houston
Hurricane City
Wxnation Houston
Galveston Webcams
Golden Triangle Weather Page Provides Galveston Weather, Warnings, Radar, etc.

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible

Previous Threads:
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part II
Hurricane Rita Live Thread, Part I
Tropical Storm Rita
Tropical Depression 18



TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi; US: Texas
KEYWORDS: hurricane; hurricanerita; rita; ruhroh; tropical; weather
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To: steveegg

Uh-oh....

It looks like the computer models are starting to DIVERGE on where this thing is coming ashore!! One or two seem to have it taking a hard right up through Central Louisiana....

Does god want to get Blanco all of the sudden???

www.wright-weather.com/gfdl.shtml


1,301 posted on 09/21/2005 10:29:02 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: Brad's Gramma

thankyou!


1,302 posted on 09/21/2005 10:29:16 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: Brad's Gramma

I offered to FedEx some ammo to someone today...they declined.

This guy got his car ripped off in front of one of the reporters earlier today....his oil light went on...so he parked it on the side of the bumper to bumper freeway traffic as he walked across the median to a gas station...and some people stole it.


1,303 posted on 09/21/2005 10:31:29 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: jpsb

Do you have a place to go to?

There's a link at the top of this thread, and I just posted it, of Freepers, offering to help Freepers...PLEASE check it if you don't have anywhere to stay.

((hugs))


1,304 posted on 09/21/2005 10:31:41 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma (Lord, we need a Logan miracle for Simcha7 and Cowboy. Please.)
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To: HoHoeHeaux

Thanks. We have folks in Houston that are waiting TOO long to evacuate.


1,305 posted on 09/21/2005 10:32:39 PM PDT by CaptSkip
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To: BurbankKarl
I heard parts of that story...but not the details.

Good grief, I hope this isn't happening a LOT.

Want my address and you can send ME some ammo? :)

1,306 posted on 09/21/2005 10:33:04 PM PDT by Brad’s Gramma (Lord, we need a Logan miracle for Simcha7 and Cowboy. Please.)
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To: tcrlaf

Been there done that...

Was at Andrew/Murphy NC Airport a few years ago tying down a PA-32 during a hailstorm with downline gusts ove 70 miles an hour. Watched a small Lear get pushed into a Hawker jet. What was cool was a self flying 152....for 10 minutes would fly in place on the tarmac (loosly tied down) to the ends of the rope. Finally one rope broke and the plane "took-off" until it flipped crumpling one wing and the tail section.

The FBO manager had my wife and kids get under his desk as shelter until it passed....

NeverGore :^)


1,307 posted on 09/21/2005 10:33:04 PM PDT by nevergore (“It could be that the purpose of my life is simply to serve as a warning to others.”)
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To: Torie

Ordinarily the timespan given begins when tropical storm force winds are forecasted to reach the coast (i.e., Friday evening for Rita on the TX coast). The surge will be at its worse when the eyewall passes over the coast. Tides will make a major difference, even if the surge is 20 ft+. You don't want high tides. The astronomical tide is added directly to the hurricane surge. If the tide is 4-5 feet, then add 4-5 ft whether the storm surge is 3 feet or 30 feet..


1,308 posted on 09/21/2005 10:33:09 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: buickmackane
G'night, buickmackane.

I'm not going to stay much past the 1 am CDT intermediate advisory.

1,309 posted on 09/21/2005 10:33:14 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: tcrlaf
Seems like every computer model is different.

Does anyone know which model has historically been most correct?

Seems like there was a FReeper who accurately forecasts where some of the last hurricanes would hit land.
1,310 posted on 09/21/2005 10:34:49 PM PDT by OKIEDOC (There's nothing like hearing someone say thank you for your help.)
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To: OKIEDOC; Strategerist
Does anyone know which model has historically been most correct?

GFDL

Seems like there was a FReeper who accurately forecasts where some of the last hurricanes would hit land.

Not me. I always forecast Pensacola if I can get away with it. ;^)

Maybe Strategerist. He's very knowledgable about 'canes.

1,311 posted on 09/21/2005 10:37:45 PM PDT by AntiGuv (™)
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To: OKIEDOC

dennis_w sp? usually had the goods, he'll show up if you ping him.


1,312 posted on 09/21/2005 10:38:15 PM PDT by txhurl
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To: nevergore

LOL!!!

You haven't lived until you've seen a SAAB lift 3 fairly big guys into the air!! It was an interesting afternoon....

Got to watch from the PAX window of a DC-9 in Detroit in the Mid-80's as a tornado went right across the FBO ramp, and into the T-hangars....

ELT's were still going off a week after that...


1,313 posted on 09/21/2005 10:38:26 PM PDT by tcrlaf
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To: BurbankKarl

The latest on that story is that the car was towed, not stolen.


1,314 posted on 09/21/2005 10:38:53 PM PDT by KingKongCobra
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To: steveegg; BurbankKarl

http://www.freerepublic.com/focus/f-news/1488829/posts


1,315 posted on 09/21/2005 10:39:09 PM PDT by Howlin
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To: Howlin

Thanks again.


1,316 posted on 09/21/2005 10:40:00 PM PDT by steveegg ($3.00 a gallon is the price you pay for ANWR! Start drilling or stop whining! - HT Falcon4.0)
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To: Brad's Gramma

thx will do.


1,317 posted on 09/21/2005 10:40:07 PM PDT by jpsb
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To: NautiNurse; All

Some interesting historically violent hurricanes

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/HAW2/english/history.shtml


1,318 posted on 09/21/2005 10:40:10 PM PDT by TheLion
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To: KingKongCobra

So much for accurate reporting. I general dont trust women with two last names and a hyphen.


1,319 posted on 09/21/2005 10:40:27 PM PDT by BurbankKarl
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To: Spktyr


Yep, people evacuated.


1,320 posted on 09/21/2005 10:42:32 PM PDT by onyx ((Vicksburg, MS) North is a direction. South is a way of life.)
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