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Hurricane/TS Katrina Live Thread, Part II
NHC - NOAA ^ | 26 August 2005 | NHC - NOAA

Posted on 08/25/2005 11:51:53 PM PDT by NautiNurse

Katrina is emerging into the very warm waters of the Gulf of Mexico early this morning after making landfall in SE Florida, then tracking SW. Thus far, she is well ahead of schedule, leaving at least four fatalities in her wake, and well over 1 million without electricity.

The following links are self-updating.

Public Advisory Currently published every 3 hours 5A, 8A, 11A, 2P, etc. ET
NHC Discussion Published every six hours 6A, 11A, 6P, 11P
Three Day Forecast Track
Five Day Forecast Track
Navy Storm Track
Katrina Track Forecast Archive Nice loop of each NHC forecast track for both three and five day
Forecast Models
Alternate Hurricane Models via Skeetobite
Buoy Data Florida

Images:


Key West Experimental Radar Subject to delays and outages - and well worth the wait

Excellent South FL radar loop

Tampa Bay Long Range Radar Loop

Storm Floater IR Loop
Storm Floater Still & Loop Options
Color Enhanced IR Loop

Other Resources:

Florida East Coast Surf Reports Lots of great info here, including surf cams
Central Florida Hurricane Center
Hurricane City

Hurricane Katrina Live Thread, Part I

Category Wind Speed Barometric Pressure Storm Surge Damage Potential
Tropical
Depression
< 39 mph
< 34 kts
    Minimal
Tropical
Storm
39 - 73 mph
34 - 63 kts
    Minimal
Hurricane 1
(Weak)
74 - 95 mph
64 - 82 kts
28.94" or more
980.02 mb or more
4.0' - 5.0'
1.2 m - 1.5 m
Minimal damage to vegetation
Hurricane 2
(Moderate)
96 - 110 mph
83 - 95 kts
28.50" - 28.93"
965.12 mb - 979.68 mb
6.0' - 8.0'
1.8 m - 2.4 m
Moderate damage to houses
Hurricane 3
(Strong)
111 - 130 mph
96 - 112 kts
27.91" - 28.49"
945.14 mb - 964.78 mb
9.0' - 12.0'
2.7 m - 3.7 m
Extensive damage to small buildings
Hurricane 4
(Very strong)
131 - 155 mph
113 - 135 kts
27.17" - 27.90"
920.08 mb - 944.80 mb
13.0' - 18.0'
3.9 m - 5.5 m
Extreme structural damage
Hurricane 5
(Devastating)
Greater than 155 mph
Greater than 135 kts
Less than 27.17"
Less than 920.08 mb
Greater than 18.0'
Greater than 5.5m
Catastrophic building failures possible


TOPICS: News/Current Events; US: Alabama; US: Florida; US: Louisiana; US: Mississippi
KEYWORDS: florida; hurricane; hurricanekatrina; katrina; livehurricanekatrina; tropical; weather
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To: MOgirl
I've made a couple of calls - the big one will be to my granddad in the morning. On his word, everyone'll do the right thing.

They'll be OK. I'm just a bit skittish, I guess. I keep thinking about that New Orleans doomsday scenario and wondering if this is the bullet that finally hits the bullseye.

601 posted on 08/26/2005 6:36:49 PM PDT by mhking (The world needs a wake up call gentlemen...we're gonna phone it in.)
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To: LA Woman3
That's good. Too bad few people will notice. It's the weekend and it's time to down a few Hurricanes at Pat O'Briens.

By the time they sober up and get the news, well, nevermind.

602 posted on 08/26/2005 6:37:09 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: Dog Gone

Every person I have talked to today didn't even know about the hurricane tracking our way....


603 posted on 08/26/2005 6:38:05 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: Prolifeconservative
Hello,

You nailed the reasons that many in NO will not / can't leave. NO residents are unique: strong - willed and an amazing bunch of people. We love going to NO and the people, atmosphere (and food) are some of the reasons why. However, those that can not leave because of $ to do it and those that will get stubborn in the face of Mother Nature, will be in a world of hurt if this does in fact hit the city. Praying hard for NO and/or anywhere this storm hits.

Glad to be here, MOgirl
604 posted on 08/26/2005 6:38:46 PM PDT by MOgirl (In memory of Walton Wayne Callahan, I love you forever.)
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To: silentknight
I believe this storm will be further east than the models are showing.

That's been the trend all yr in the GOM it seems. I would expect some correction east once they all stop shifting west. Of course, that could still put NO in a tough spot. We'll see.

605 posted on 08/26/2005 6:40:21 PM PDT by nwctwx (Everything I need to know, I learned on the Threat Matrix)
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To: LA Woman3

The '03 campaign, and the lisping bitch's Blanco's current popularity, have convinced me that La. doesn't really deserve Bobby. But I'm still licking my chops at the thought of him knocking off Mary Landrieu in '08.

-Dan

606 posted on 08/26/2005 6:42:08 PM PDT by Flux Capacitor (Trust me. I know what I'm doing.)
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To: Dog Gone

Durin Ivan, one bar in the French Quarter stayed open and had a hurricane party. Amazing!


607 posted on 08/26/2005 6:42:18 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: LA Woman3

I hope you're not in New Orleans, or if you are you're leaving no later than tomorrow morning?


608 posted on 08/26/2005 6:42:35 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: ClearBlueSky

VERY WELL SAID!!


609 posted on 08/26/2005 6:42:39 PM PDT by realpatriot (Some spelling errers entionally included!)
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To: jeeperz
As long as your daughter is in a sturdy building, Tallahassee is a safe place. It's high, inland and no gulf connected rivers or bays. Like all modern cities, developers may have left certain locations vulnerable to flooding. You don't want to be on the ground floor between hills when the sewer backs up. The only major hurricanes that have "cleaned clock" in Tallahassee wear orange and green and come from Coral Gables. Those Hurricanes smash through Tallahassee like a red neck through a sausage biscuit.
610 posted on 08/26/2005 6:44:40 PM PDT by ghostrider
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To: Dog Gone

We are outside of Baton Rouge. I grew up in Texas, so this is all new to me!


611 posted on 08/26/2005 6:45:19 PM PDT by LA Woman3
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To: MOgirl

Thank you for the prayers. BTW, I count my brother-in-laws as the stubborn duck hunters who won't leave even if a Cat 5 is bearing down because they have a boat. I don't argue with them anymore because I'm not a duck hunter. LOL! And my apologies to all duckhunters who DO take their families and leave the metro area when a hurricane is bearing down on this area!


612 posted on 08/26/2005 6:47:40 PM PDT by Prolifeconservative (If there is another terrorist attack, the womb is a very unsafe place to hide.)
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To: ClearBlueSky
Hello,

Oh, I am so sorry that you are facing this. I do understand that many people can not afford to evacuate, and if they can, where can that many people go on such short notice? Your post brought tears to my eyes, thinking of your worry. I wish I could help. Please ignore the stupid media, they are vultures of human misery. As for those that are excited about the situation, I don't think they mean any harm, and perhaps in their interest in the weather, they will help alert others to the danger they face.

Please try to stay safe, if this storm does look like it is heading your way. Still praying for you and all in path of this,

Glad to be here, MOgirl
613 posted on 08/26/2005 6:48:49 PM PDT by MOgirl (In memory of Walton Wayne Callahan, I love you forever.)
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To: ClearBlueSky
When jaywalking, how many times are you willing to dodge oncoming traffic?

When do you say, enough is enough, I'm ain't dodging it anymore because I ain't never been kilt yet?

New Orleans is a sitting duck in the traffic lane. Traffic may avoid it for awhile, but some 18-wheeler isn't going to be so thoughtful.

614 posted on 08/26/2005 6:50:15 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: STARWISE
.. that weather reader on TWC never learned how to say "str" words ... she says "shtr .. as in shtrong and shtrange .. what is that??

Same guy that calls Nevada "Nah-vahhh-da."

615 posted on 08/26/2005 6:51:24 PM PDT by Inyo-Mono (Life is like a cow pasture, it's hard to get through without stepping in some mess.)
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To: Flux Capacitor

"But I'm still licking my chops at the thought of him knocking off Mary Landrieu in '08."

David Vitter's OUTRIGHT win really knocked Landrieu for a loop. No one, her included, saw that one coming. Her re-election bid will very interesting.


616 posted on 08/26/2005 6:51:48 PM PDT by Prolifeconservative (If there is another terrorist attack, the womb is a very unsafe place to hide.)
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To: MOgirl

I'm not excited about it, but every time a hurricane edges this way I can't help thinking that if New Orleans went bye-bye, the Democrats would never win another statewide election here. :)

But even that's not worth it.

-Dan

617 posted on 08/26/2005 6:52:33 PM PDT by Flux Capacitor (Trust me. I know what I'm doing.)
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To: nwctwx

it still has a slight southward component to its movement right now, the longer it delays the turn to the north, the further west its going to come ashore.


618 posted on 08/26/2005 6:52:50 PM PDT by oceanview
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To: STARWISE

I spoke too soon earlier when I posted, lost power this afternoon and got it back about an hour ago. We have water again but are warned not to drink any tap water and to boil it prior to using it to wash dishes. I'm still not exactly sure when we will have drinkable water from the tap.

From what I've seen around town is plenty of flooding, many tree's down, including numerous royal palms on Canal Drive blocking the way. We tried to go down Kings Highway but it's flooded out. I heard from a friend on mine with HPD that most of the area around the hospital is either flooded out of had trees blocking the way. The city was out pretty clearing roads.

Most of the farm land in the Redlands is still there, but obviously flooded along with most of the area.

I too took this storm to be nothing, as we were told the entire time Katrina was heading to the E. Coast. Local news was saying Dade would get little, maybe some heavy rains. Last we really heard was that Katrina would make a direct hit in Palm Beach County. Next time I'll take more precautions.


619 posted on 08/26/2005 6:53:15 PM PDT by Brytani ("Opportunity is missed by most people because it is dressed in overalls and looks like work - Edison)
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To: mhking
Hello,

Of course you are skittish, NO has been missed for a long time by storms such as these, and it is normal to expect that it can't last forever. I am glad to hear that you are and will be in contact with your family there, and that your Granddad will make sure that the right decision is made. With prayers and good wishes to you,

Glad to be here, MOgirl
620 posted on 08/26/2005 6:53:52 PM PDT by MOgirl (In memory of Walton Wayne Callahan, I love you forever.)
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