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JORGENSON EXPLODES FAIRTAX MYTH (FR Exclusive)
self | August 25, 2005 | RobFromGa

Posted on 08/24/2005 9:40:44 PM PDT by RobFromGa

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To: lewislynn; Admin Moderator

Were you lying then or are you lying now?

Seeing as I have not lied in either case, you are out of line.

501 posted on 08/30/2005 1:00:08 AM PDT by ancient_geezer (Don't reform it, Replace it!!)
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To: ancient_geezer
Thank you. I found your post to be polite, responsive and even fulfilling. Looks like we agree on a couple of basic points.

And what is "non-tax data" that you refer to? From your post 477:

He doesn't mention business tax related cost factors, only tax per-se...

I attempted to simplify your terminology to "non-tax cost data." Said another way, it was my attempt to coin a term for all the costs related to tax but are not actual tax that you keep referring to.

And you're right, there's no bargin to be made, we aparently already agree. What puzzled me was your insistance on continuing to discuss Jorgenson's treatement of these costs as if to say "though I can't find them, they've got to be there somewhere! When I said they were not in the model, you challenged my assertion as though such a suggestion flies in the face of reality, even though you agree with me!

I would tend to agree, except "compliance costs" are only the accounting cost factors and but a portion of the total tax related overhead costs associated with the current system.

OK. So, pick a term we can all use to mean the same thing: everthing you want to include that is currently left out. Everything: The cost of printer ink that prints tax forms, the envelopes used to contact the tax attorney, the disk drives that hold employee withholding data, everything.

How big is it? $250 Billion? $650 Billion? $3 Trillion? $10 Trillion??? just what percent of the GDP are you claiming is eaten up by {term to be inserted here} costs anyway?

How much of that goes away and how quickly does all that cost go away?

Fully unrolled, these costs are all either Labor costs or capital costs. What is the split?

Perhaps you be willing to start another thread to discuss this? This thread has lost a bit of steam.

502 posted on 08/30/2005 1:07:16 AM PDT by Dimples
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To: Dimples

How big is it? $250 Billion? $650 Billion? $3 Trillion? $10 Trillion??? just what percent of the GDP are you claiming is eaten up by {term to be inserted here} costs anyway?

I'll accept James L. Payne's factor as representative of the total tax related overhead costs on top of revenues paid to government:

Where Have All the Dollars Gone?
How the government robs Peter to pay him back.
By James L. Payne, Reason Magazine February '94

When the overhead costs are added together, (24 percent compliance costs, 33 percent disincentive costs, and 8 percent other costs), they total 65 percent of tax revenue. Although future studies may come up with slightly different numbers, there is no doubt that the overhead costs of taxation are substantial. This means that every act of self-subsidy entails a significant waste. When the government takes a dollar from Peter to give it back to him later, there is a huge loss attached to the transaction.

Unfortunately, the bad news doesn't end there. Peter is never going to see this dollar, even if it is destined for him, because of the waste in the system for disbursing subsidies."

Plunder Patrol
by Robert W. Lee, New American April 18 '94

Counting the Cost

"Tax analyst James Payne pinpoints more than 30 separate burdens which the current tax system imposes on individuals, businesses, and society as a whole, including the costs of compliance and enforcement."

"When the visible and hidden costs associated with tax collection (the vast majority of which have been piled without remuneration onto the private sector) are totaled up, Payne estimates that it costs 65 cents to collect every $1.00 in taxes. For fiscal 1992, that expense would be more than $622 billion, making tax collection the most expensive of all government programs (more than double the defense budget and nearly five times the expenditures on Medicare). "

 

How much of that goes away

A recent paper I ran across suggests the costs associated with retail sales taxes to be one fifth those associated with the income/payroll tax system.[CATO -- Options for Taxreform PA536 (2005)]

and how quickly does all that cost go away?

How fast can busnesses change how they utilize their resources for productive use instead of in sterile tax avoidence/minimization schemes. How fast does it take businesses to quit doing things they no longer need to do? A year to two years undoing the worst of it? Your guess is a good as mine.

Perhaps you be willing to start another thread to discuss this? This thread has lost a bit of steam.

Don't see that it makes a lot of difference in terms of my essential reasons for going with an NRST, since those are primarily philosophical and not economic. That is in spite of the fact that these threads tend to bog down in economic minutia rather rapidly.

The main thing I look to clear up in this exchange is what the Jorgenson study actually implements, and how his numbers should best be interpreted in light of real world behaviour and tax overhead costs that he apparently simplifies out of his IGEM analysis.

From what I can see, any tax related cost savings would act to increase the individual's purchasing power over the findings of the Jorgenson studies and the wage thing is best interpreted from a sticky wage perspective due to contractual restrictions that prohibit much downward movement in wages in contrast to what Jorgenson allows in his implementation.

503 posted on 08/30/2005 2:12:35 AM PDT by ancient_geezer (Don't reform it, Replace it!!)
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To: lewislynn
What happens when the provider of the service spends what money s/he assigns him/herself?...Will they have to pay tax then or will the purchaser of their service pay their sales taxes for them too?...

They then pay the same tax that everyone else will pay. They are not being double taxed. One person pays a tax for the purchase of their services, and then they pay tax on the purchase of other goods and services.

504 posted on 08/30/2005 2:35:13 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: lewislynn

The customers of the business will pay the 23% on any services they purchase. The owner of the business will not pay 23% on the salary assigned to himself. On paper, you are an employee of the business. Employees' salaries will not be taxed.


505 posted on 08/30/2005 2:37:49 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: Smokin' Joe

The businesses will have the same profit per unit. If they fail to lower the price, then everyone else will, and it's goodbye business. It's called capitalistic competition. Perhaps you've heard of it.


506 posted on 08/30/2005 2:39:44 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: Dimples

The workers take home their full salary, which is of course, more than their full salary minus taxes.

The retail price of every product and service loses 23% in embedded cost and gains it back in the form of a sales tax. 23%-23% = 0. It's revenue neutral.


507 posted on 08/30/2005 2:42:26 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: Dimples

The 23% is currently embedded in the price of goods. It represents the tax that businesses essentially collect, and then pass on to the consumer in the form of higher prices. Once businesses are no longer charged this tax, then it is removed from the cost of the good. Therefore, the retail price charged and received by the business for each product reduces by 23%. However, the 23% is added back at the register through a sales tax. Therefore 23% -23% = 0. The price stays the same. The tax is just now collected in a different way, while eliminating the IRS.


508 posted on 08/30/2005 2:45:41 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: Dimples
So, perhaps you could illustrate, which line item components of cost of some sample business are reduced?

Taxes they pay on gross revenues, and payroll taxes are gone.

509 posted on 08/30/2005 2:47:13 AM PDT by SALChamps03
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To: SALChamps03
Taxes they pay on gross revenues

You say that like it is a good thing.

510 posted on 08/30/2005 2:50:37 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: SALChamps03
The 23% is currently embedded in the price of goods. It represents the tax that businesses essentially collect, and then pass on to the consumer in the form of higher prices. Once businesses are no longer charged this tax, then it is removed from the cost of the good.

Embedded taxes represent all taxes, including those paid by employees, according to the man who did your research. The only way to remove these costs is for employees to take pay cuts.

511 posted on 08/30/2005 2:52:20 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: SALChamps03
The workers take home their full salary, which is of course, more than their full salary minus taxes.

You fail to comprehend what Dr. Jorgenson's explaination means. It means you can't take your full salary and have prices fall significantly.

512 posted on 08/30/2005 2:54:14 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: SALChamps03
The businesses will have the same profit per unit. If they fail to lower the price, then everyone else will, and it's goodbye business.

If business maintain their same profits and their costs only go down 6-7%, prices ain't falling 23 percent.

513 posted on 08/30/2005 2:56:31 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: RobFromGa

No way. Employers wouldn't cut their employees' pay to their current after-tax levels in such a way; that's utter nonsense.


514 posted on 08/30/2005 2:59:43 AM PDT by RightOnline
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To: ancient_geezer; Dimples
How the government robs Peter to pay him back. By James L. Payne, Reason Magazine February '94

Who is James Payne and what hole did he pull these numbers out of? This guy just spits out numbers without any backing. At least the $250 Billion number had some research behind it, and even that most of that number is not applicable to costs to businesses. Some random quote from a guy back in 1994.

515 posted on 08/30/2005 3:06:08 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: RightOnline
No way. Employers wouldn't cut their employees' pay to their current after-tax levels in such a way; that's utter nonsense

It is nonsense, but that is the assumption when fair taxers say prices will fall 23 percent. That is the way the fair tax researchers came up with the numbers. And now fair taxers knowingly and willfully misrespresent the research.

516 posted on 08/30/2005 3:08:22 AM PDT by Always Right
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To: woodbeez
Competition?

------------------------------------

In a perfect world, maybe.

517 posted on 08/30/2005 4:36:48 AM PDT by wtc911 (see my profile for how to contribute to a pentagon heroes fund)
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To: RobFromGa

This is part of The Plan. Make the new tax plan very confusing, gain confidence from your constituents that you know what is going on and that it's good for them, then screw them to the wall on more taxes.

Congress should just make social security an optional "benefit" for everyone and I'll be happy beyond belief. In fact, I'll abandon all my future claims to SS if I could get out now and forever.


518 posted on 08/30/2005 4:54:35 AM PDT by HighWheeler ("Would I turn on the gas if my pal Mugsy were in there?" "Ye might rabbit, ye might." ~ Bugs, 1954)
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To: Always Right
The payroll tax employers pay is entirely based on what they withold from your check.

Sorry for this late response. Let me try to rephrase my point.

I believe the payroll tax is paid entirely by the employer, not witheld from my paycheck. Is that not the case? Ancient Geezer has already said the fair tax plan eliminates the payroll tax.

Shalom.

519 posted on 08/30/2005 5:11:16 AM PDT by ArGee (So that's how liberty dies, with thunderous applause. - Padme Amidala)
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To: SALChamps03
Nope. totally alien concept.

How will the businesses have the same profit per unit?

Look, cut 20% off the average young family's income. They are heavily leveraged for the house, vehicles, and student loans. Those debts are not magically going to drop by 20%.

What you will cut is their disposable income.

When that goes, it won't matter that your chain stores cut prices 5 or 10%, because the money that was left over from the fixed costs won't be there. When the stores cut prices, the tax will eat up the difference for the buyer. If the store cuts its price 20%, and the tax is 22%, you pay 102% of what you pay now--only you pay it out of 80% of your current income, after the mortgage, student loan payment, and vehicle loan payment, etc.

Actually, I don't care so much, my house is nearly paid for and when a pile of people go teats up, I'll be standing in the back at the auction waiting for some really good deals.

Recievership. Perhaps you've heard of that. Maybe you have heard of Depression (not the kind you medicate away, either).

520 posted on 08/30/2005 5:14:36 AM PDT by Smokin' Joe (God save us from the fury of the do-gooders!)
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