To: tortoise
Inference, not absolute proof. For example the coin toss examples above. Fifty heads in a row. What does it mean for the next toss? Heads! The coin is rigged. It is off course possible -- but exceedingly less likely, that the coin happened to fall fifty times heads, yet the more reasonable assumption is that it is rigged.
1,468 posted on
02/02/2005 10:39:59 AM PST by
bvw
To: bvw
Inference, not absolute proof. For example the coin toss examples above. Fifty heads in a row. What does it mean for the next toss? The probability for getting 50 heads in a row is the same as the probability of getting any predefined sequence. For example the following sequences have the same probability:
HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH HHHHH
HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH HTHTH
1,470 posted on
02/02/2005 10:43:18 AM PST by
WildTurkey
(When will CBS Retract and Apologize?)
To: bvw
Probability estimates applied to evolution are invalid, because evolutionary outcomes are not predefined. The outcomes of change are not predicted or known in advance. There is no bet, therefore no relevant odds.
To: bvw
It is almost 11:00:00.00 AM on 2/2/2005. What is the probability of that date and time occuring in the whole life of the earth?
1,484 posted on
02/02/2005 10:57:37 AM PST by
WildTurkey
(When will CBS Retract and Apologize?)
To: bvw
Rigged? Maybe, but VERY possible!
1,125,899,906,842,620 to 1 for 50 in a row.
Now then...
...what's the odds that the next 'mutation' (of ANY species) will be 'advantageous'?
1,537 posted on
02/02/2005 12:21:19 PM PST by
Elsie
(Heck is where people, who don't believe in Gosh, think they are not going....)
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