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To: PatrickHenry
each generation is mathematically on its own!

I'm math impaired, but it sounds like a variation the coin toss fallacy. You've had five heads in a row. What are the odds of tossing heads again? I think the central misunderstanding is the assumption that we had to get here from there. We are here, but it wasn't foreseen. I think the inventors of ID know this and are consciously and deliberately perpetrating a fraud. What are the odds?

1,383 posted on 02/02/2005 5:23:21 AM PST by js1138
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To: js1138
I think the inventors of ID know this and are consciously and deliberately perpetrating a fraud.

It's often an error to assume that malice is necessary when stupidity is sufficient.

1,389 posted on 02/02/2005 6:13:56 AM PST by Doctor Stochastic (Vegetabilisch = chaotisch is der Charakter der Modernen. - Friedrich Schlegel)
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To: js1138
I'm math impaired, but it [incorporation of the continuum: each generation is mathematically on its own!] sounds like a variation the coin toss fallacy.

Yes, it's close to the The Gambler's Fallacy. That involves assuming that the results of an ongoing streak will have some influence on the next coin toss. It's very close. But hey ... let me have my moment in the cyber sun.

1,392 posted on 02/02/2005 6:44:30 AM PST by PatrickHenry (<-- Click on my name. The List-O-Links for evolution threads is at my freeper homepage.)
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To: js1138; PatrickHenry
I'm math impaired, but it sounds like a variation the coin toss fallacy. You've had five heads in a row. What are the odds of tossing heads again? I think the central misunderstanding is the assumption that we had to get here from there. We are here, but it wasn't foreseen. I think the inventors of ID know this and are consciously and deliberately perpetrating a fraud. What are the odds?

see "Bernoulli Trial"....

1,410 posted on 02/02/2005 8:15:00 AM PST by longshadow
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To: js1138
I think the inventors of ID know this and are consciously and deliberately perpetrating a fraud.

Just go to their websites and see all the DVD's and books for sale. Some here have actually admitted to buying the cr@p.

1,415 posted on 02/02/2005 8:19:02 AM PST by WildTurkey (When will CBS Retract and Apologize?)
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