And all Jeff Davis needed to NOT say was, "Fire". Time was on his side, he could allowed supplies to be landed at Sumter, by summer Lincoln would have been the only person in the North not recognizing an independent confederate states. But instead he initiated a war and lost everything.
Wrong. SC moved before Davis was elected president. SC acted as a sovereign nation-state. Lincoln's refusal to meet with SC envoys and his refusal to uphold Buchannan's agreement of a truce on hostilities at Sumter was a clear sign of war.
Charleston was a ready to ignite for months. Lincoln dropped the match.
Lemme get this straight. If Davis had just stood fast, Lincoln would NOT have invaded the South?
Is that what you are saying?