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To: Kevin OMalley
***Answer my questions and I'll try to answer yours.

What questions?

318 posted on 12/22/2004 6:59:24 AM PST by Toddsterpatriot (Protectionism is economic ignorance!)
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To: Toddsterpatriot

Hello Toddsterpatriot:


Here are my prior questions:

If you were a PRC Navy General with the commission of planning an invasion of Taiwan, would you take your tens of thousands of antiship and antiaircraft missiles and take potshots at the Taiwan Navy, or would you aim a swarm attack at the American Crown Jewels? Keep in mind that just one carrier accident in the Caribbean cost us lots of planes and about $500M during peacetime. Also keep in mind that if you sank every single Taiwanese boat, would that give you the final edge? The real power in the region isn't Taiwan, it's the U.S. But if you sank 2 American carriers, would that give you the edge?

I have other questions that I'd like you to address as well, if you don't mind. Up to this point we have been addressing the possiblity of an unaugmented nuclear accident on a U.S. Aircraft Carrier. The whole point of such a downside is that if Americans see it, they will withdraw from the fighting. Do you agree with that posture?

So, there is actually even more danger once you realize that this sets up the Chinese Generals to focus on the scenario, because they would seek to augment it. All it would take is momentary air superiority, which isn't that difficult to attain when a carrier is sinking and you've got thousands of antiaircraft missiles flying everywhere. The Chinese could send a pilot with the mission of dropping a very low yield nuclear torpedo that helps to augment this disaster scenario. All that they need is the appearance of nuclear radiation, burning ships, drowning sailors and sinking carriers to get the desired effect. It would actually help them to have the American ship still in containment, because afterwards they could send a sub to disarm the nuclear torpedo and then pretend to be heroes.


320 posted on 12/22/2004 9:19:06 AM PST by Kevin OMalley (Kevin O'Malley)
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