60%+ for Republicans in the T is not supprising honestly. Republicans completely own this state except for 2 areas, Philly region and Pittsburgh Region. Unfortunately there are huge numbers of folks in those regions compared to the T.
What will make or break Bush in PA is how strong he performs in the Philly region. I think Bush will do very well in Pittsburgh... I see absolutely no indication he has remotely the support Gore had here 4 years ago.
If Bush does well in Philly, he will carry the state.
Bush may improve his performance among Jews in suburban Phila, but the urban area trumps most anything.
Re: The Philly situation . Two weeks ago I knocked on doors in South Philly and in northeast Philly this past Saturday and Sunday. Don't mean to put a wet blanket on the situation, but there were a whole lot of Kerry/Edwards signs. The Repubs I talked to were all psyched. I just hope there are enough new Repub voters there or Dems voting for Bush this time, because the Kerry/Edwards sign situation was a little overwhelming in Philly.
But here's a fun thing: a woman in northeast Philly had a lifesize cutout of Bush on her lawn, complete with spotlight ! We were surprised no one had torn it down.