You're wrong. Remember the margins by which New Mexico and Florida were decided in 2000?
Every single vote is important in this race. If you honestly think taking the risk of putting Lurch in office is worth voting your "conscience" then you've quite honestly lost your mind.
I am voting Bush my friend...
But your simple analysis of NM for instance is flawed...the fact Bush lost NM isnt because some 200 odd voters voted Libertarian or what not...
ITS BECAUSE BUSH DIDNT GET ANOTHER 300 VOTERS TO THE POLLS
Its that simple