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To: Amelia
Most recent shows it 50 or so miles east of FL out in the ocean.

Correction: east of GA

Post #1908 shows projected path.

Though Savannah is not in the heart of the projected path, this is based on Math Models.

I recently learned that there was a lot of error in this until recently because of how they computations.

Don't base your life on a Math Model.

Charley went from Cat 2 to Cat 4 like sh*t through a Goose, and that should be a warning to anyone that is potentially on its path.

The model in 1908 is saying winds >73 MPH, but it does not say how much. Also, even out in the Atlantic, this storm could spawn 20 to 50 tornados in the Savannah area (potentially). I remember one Hurricane that did this, but I can't remember.

The model on #1908 shows Savannah on the edge, but that is only if they are correct in their predictions.

I have learned the hard way (30 years of working on computers and a fairly high IQ of 130) that God is the only one I put my trust in.

It is on our Money for a good reason.

A lot of blood has been spilled for us to be free and allowed to put that slogan on our money.

Jeb and Columba, during the heat of the 2000 election, left Florida to go pray about the election in Columba's home country of Mexico. They made a special petition of God about the election of Jeb's brother George W.

So I would follow Jeb and what he did.

Any computer can be hit by a BETA particle and that can ruin your whole day.

So I would not bet on supercomputers to save your rear end.

1,982 posted on 08/13/2004 5:27:41 PM PDT by topher
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To: topher

I'm quite aware that projections are inaccurate and can change quickly, as they did this afternoon. For instance, Hugo was aiming directly toward us, and took a slight jag at the last minute and missed us completely. Our good fortune, Charleston's bad.

That's one reason we spent the afternoon "battening down", even though the projections showed that we were no longer really threatened.


2,017 posted on 08/13/2004 5:46:32 PM PDT by Amelia
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