Newsweek Poll: Bush 45%, Kerry 43%, Nader 5%

Yahoo/PRNewswire ^ | 3.20.04

[AM2000]

Princeton Survey Research Associates International interviewed 1,006 adults aged 18 and older

Adults.

[gswilder]

Overall the polls are turning towards Bush over the last 2 weeks.

[crz]

Lets stand back and see what the results of todays kick off speach by Bush are.

[AM2000]

I've noticed. I suspect the margin would be larger if the polling sample weren't from "Adults" but from likely voters.

[Betaille]

There are alot of very loaded questions in this polls... I think that is why Bush isn't ahead by more in it. For example, they probably asked "Do you think, as some analysts suggest, that Bush purposely misled us about WMD's in Iraq". Then the next question "Who would you vote for today? Bush, Kerry, or Nader?". Thats my guess

[AUH2OY2K]

The media is going to have to redouble its efforts in attacking Bush. Expect more lies and invectives. I wonder what the next media generated scandal will be against Bush. Although I don't care for Bush, I would hate to see John the Flimflam Man Kerry and the media win. Before the flamers start accusing me of being a liberal, I'm not. In fact, the reason I don't care for Bush and will probably not vote for him is that he is too liberal.

[RightWhale]

If Kerry were up 2% it would be a landslide. When Bush is up 2% it's a tie. Same people write stock market copy. Market edges up 150. Market plummets 10.

[Texas_Dawg]

Excellent. If GWB is up 3% in the Newsweek poll, he is likely up 5-6% in the others. The Newsweek poll is always the most left-leaning of the major publication polls taken regularly.

Consider (note the same dates of the polls):

Newsweek (2/5-2/6) 45% 50% - Kerry +5
Time/CNN (2/5-2/6) 50% 48% - Bush +2
Fox News/Op Dyn (2/4-5) 47% 43% - Bush +3

And:

Newsweek (2/19-2/20) 45% 48% - Kerry +3
Fox News/Op Dyn (2/18-2/19) 45% 45% - TIE
ARG (2/17 - 2/19) 46% 48% - Kerry +2

[Dane]

Although I don't care for Bush, I would hate to see John the Flimflam Man Kerry and the media win. Before the flamers start accusing me of being a liberal, I'm not. In fact, the reason I don't care for Bush and will probably not vote for him is that he is too liberal

Thus giving a defacto vote to the only other person who has a chance to win, Kerry.

[H2dude]

I LOVE how Nader is getting 5%!

hahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahahaha!

I might even vote for him, the maverick, considering my vote out
here in Ca is meaningnless anyway, given LA and SF.

[ScaniaBoy]

Yes, and that's the only interesting thing with this poll.

Kerry's momentum (if he ever really had any) has waned - and Bush's figures are increasing in all polls.

And the GOP hasn't even started the campaign yet, (though Cheney's speach from the Reagan library was fantastic).

ScaniaBoy

[AUH2OY2K]

I vote for what I believe in.

[LS]

Dontcha love it? When Bush is ahead by three, it's a "dead heat." When Kerry is up by one, it's a "lead."

[AHerald]

Didn't Newsweek recently feature a poll that had Kerry with a huge lead over Bush, or am I mistaken?

[Dane]

I vote for what I believe in.

Well I guess you also don't believe in reality and that reality is that either Bush or Kerry will be President.

I am not telling you who to vote for, just pointing out that what you said is contradictory to your claim that you hope Kerry doesn't win.

Anyway if Barry Goldwater was alive today, he would probably vote for Bush.

[Rome2000]

24 percent of registered voters picked the economy, followed by terrorism and homeland security (19%), health care, including Medicare (14%), American jobs and foreign competition (13%), the situation in Iraq (12%),

Terrorism, security, and the war in Iraq are the same thing.

The subject has eclipsed the economy as the most important issue, as it should.

Newsweak is still trying their best to change the subject.

[Paleo Conservative]

I've noticed. I suspect the margin would be larger if the polling sample weren't from "Adults" but from likely voters.

Why do you think the unbiased polling firm polled "adults" rather than "likely voters"?

[Old fashioned]

"The margin of error is plus or minus three percentage points".

Not true. It would only be so if the sample was truly random, which it never is. The truth is without a completely random sample, the 'margin of error' is unknowable, and therefore the poll results are worthless.

[AUH2OY2K]

My hopes do not contradict my actions. I hope Kerry loses, I hope that a conservative wins. I hope my mom doesn't die of cancer. I will pray. She will die. I will vote, a conservative won't win.