Maybe you had better rethink that logic. Rove wants a centrist RINO party. That agenda includes gays, Federally controlled schools, and open borders. Rove ran Riordan. Simon beat Riordan. Simon is a conservative. Rove wants to prove that a centrist party will win big and conservatives have no place to go. If Simon wins that discounts Rove's (and Bush's) "giving them what they want and spending for votes always works" premise. If conservatives can enlist swing votes on conservative principles, Rove is out of a job.
Got it?
There is plenty of evidence supporting this thesis, particularly with the way that the Party under Gerry Parsky (who Rove force fed to California) is denying the Simon campaign funds for normal operations. You should know that there is bad blood between Parsky and the Simon family over money. Even discounting personal vendettas, the pattern is too consistent to ignore.
Examples? The budget to get out the absentee vote will be one tenth of normal. Spending for already budgeted computers and office equipment is being withheld. There was an article just a few days ago out of the Hoover institution attacking Simon (and the author was Riordan's chief brain trust). There is a lot more that is more subtle.
It's a screw job, just like Schundler got. I think it's Rove.