Replies

uhm..I hate to challenge your thinking, but what would other half do? If only 25% of the other half voted for Cruz..oh forget it...garbage in...garbage out.

Why would the other 25% vote for Bustamante?

In this scenario Schwarzenegger doesn't drop out.

Who else would they vote for?

I don't think it is that straight forward. For instance, lets pretend that all the conservatives leave Arnold as you hypothesize and they are about 50% of Arnold's 35% or about 17%. First, I think we have to realistically acknowledge the proabability of that happening in the next ten days. I think we can all agree the likelihood of that happening is pretty small if non-existent.

But anyway lets say it does happen. New poll comes out next week and Arnold is at 17% Bustamovemante is at 33% and Mcc is at 34%. Will Arnolds remaining 17% still vote for Arnold knowing that Mcc may win or will a portion of them shift their allegiance to Bustamovemante? Will the liberals and moderates still vote yes for the recall knowing that a full fledged conservative has a good chance of winning?

The whole dynamic of the race would change thus making any such predictions to outcome nearly impossible IMHO. However, I think the first part of your premise that their is some way at this stage in the game to move all conservatives from Arnold to Mcc is highly unlikely.

Hopefully, as the days move closer Republicans will look to see who the front runner is and everyone (other than the truly devoted)will rally around him and Davis will be gone.

BTW. There is a guy on the ballot named Fred Flinstonius from Sacramento. Believe it or not he is even more conservative and more in line with the party platform than Mcc.. although in the latest poll he garners only .005% of the vote. I want to know why some of you on here are not suporting him. Is the test for which candidate to support

A)the guy who is the most conservative and the guy who most closely lines up with the party platform

or

B)the guy who is the most conservative.. and who can win..

If it is A than vote for Flinstonius, If it is B than vote for Arnold.. Of course Flinstonius is a hypothetical person, but what if he was a real person among those 134. Would the vote be cast for Flinstonius over Mcc beacuse he is more conservative.. or would you "compromise your principles" and vote for MCC because he has a better shot of winning.

And in my scenario, the Big One causes Los Angeles and San Francisco to break off of California and sink into the ocean, which would lead to a massive decrease in Democratic voters. Not likely to happen, though.