[fqued]

Here's another way of looking at it:

Arnold goes from 28 - 35, a 25% rise
Tom Mc goes from 12 - 17, a 42% rise

that's in two or three weeks.

If that trend held true, then in another two or three weeks,
Arnold rises another 25% to 44% of the vote
Tom Mc rises another 42% to 24% of the vote

[alwaysconservative]

Thanks for the analysis! The information from my college statistics classes seem to have disappeared in my brain!