[alwaysconservative]

Thanks for your comment. That means, though, that Arnold has gone from 28% to 35% during the same period that Tom has gone from 14% to 17% or 18%; in other words, Arnold's 7% "surge" has been almost double that of Tom's 3-1/2 to 4%. Am I doing the math correctly?

[alwaysconservative]

Sorry, that should have been 12% to 17 or 18% and 27 or 28% to 35%. Geez, with all the numbers floating around, it's hard to see exactly what is current! Anyway, Arnold's surge still is bigger than Tom's, which is what I was trying to point out.

[fqued]

Here's another way of looking at it:

Arnold goes from 28 - 35, a 25% rise
Tom Mc goes from 12 - 17, a 42% rise

that's in two or three weeks.

If that trend held true, then in another two or three weeks,
Arnold rises another 25% to 44% of the vote
Tom Mc rises another 42% to 24% of the vote