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Context - The big picture on American deaths in Iraq [Excellent]
National Review ^ | August 28, 2003 | Michael Novak

Posted on 08/28/2003 6:42:17 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl

August 28, 2003, 8:45 a.m.
Context
The big picture on American deaths in Iraq.

n the 118 days between May 1 and August 26, there were 63 American battlefield deaths in Iraq. About two weeks ago, the left-wing press recognized that this did not sound as dramatic as they wished. So they started totaling all military deaths in Iraq, including those from accidents, which happen in military life every day, everywhere. This brought the total up by another 78. They're more comfortable with that total number, 141. But the true battlefield number is 63.

This is significant, because in the first stage of the war, from March 19 until April 30, 112 Americans died in combat, and 29 in various accidents. In those first 42 days, that meant almost 3 combat deaths per day. In the 118 days since then, there has been about one combat death every other day — 63 in 118 days. (The accidental deaths have been fairly consistent: 29 in 42 days early on, and after May 1, 78 in 118 days.)

The total number of American combat deaths in Iraq since March 19 has been, then, 175. But the number of U.S. Marines killed in one single night during the bombing of their barracks in Lebanon in 1983 — the first blow of terror against America — was 243. Drawing a lesson from that incident, Osama bin Laden said before September 11, 2001 that Americans have become soft and surrender prone. Plainly, this is true of some Americans; but I don't think of most.

Consider: During the Vietnam War, Americans lost an average of 15 dead every day; during the Korean War, 30 every day; and during World War II, an average of 214 every day. The numbers in Iraq this year have been far below that.

Tragic for the family as each of these deaths is, the total number of combat deaths in Iraq this year comes to 175 in 170 days, two-thirds of those during the first 40 days.

Nonetheless, it is hard for Americans watching television this summer to watch our young soldiers being picked off one at a time, assassinated really, not in battle, but in cowardly ways (a shot to the back of the skull on a university campus, a grenade dropped from a bridge into an open humvee, another grenade launched at Americans on guard at a children's hospital). Every single death hurts. The drumbeat regularity of one death every two days hurts even more.

The nine Democratic candidates for the presidency in 2004 are already campaigning bitterly on this and other "bad news" issues in Iraq. Democratic hardcore voters hate George Bush with insatiable passion. The candidates who desperately need this hardcore vote in the upcoming Democratic primaries fix on bad news in Iraq like vultures.

President Bush, largely silent just now, and biding his time, has powerful arguments waiting in rebuttal. He welcomes the strategic error of the Democrats in attacking him on the issue of war — where he is far stronger than they — rather than on domestic issues, where they have advantages.

For one thing, terrorist attacks all around the world dropped sharply in 2002 and even more so far during 2003.

Second, there has been no further terrorist attack in America in almost two full years. There have been multiple threats, and any day another tragedy may yet occur. But the nation is not where it was prior to September 11, 2001.

Afghanistan is no longer an open, free training ground for al Qaeda. Iraq is no longer threatening Iran and Kuwait. Also, no longer sending funds to Palestinian homicide bombers. Iran, Syria, and even Saudi Arabia are being more careful, now that they are closely watched. These are large steps forward for the Middle East. More must be done.

Since March thousands of terrorists from around the world have flocked to Iraq to wreak death on Americans. They are still pouring in, drawn like moths to flame. They hope to kill Americans. Instead, they themselves are being killed in droves. In early August, for instance, in an American sweep north of Baghdad, while eight Americans were being killed, more than 300 Fedayeen who engaged them died in combat.

Every terrorist who rushes to Baghdad to kill Americans is one less who is attacking Americans at home. The American strategy is to fight them in Iraq, and other places outside the U.S., rather than to sit and wait for them to come to harm us in New York, Washington, or Los Angeles.

More and more middle-level Iraqi are losing their fear of Saddam and the Baathist party, and are bringing intelligence to the Americans. Even restless, hostile youths on the street are refusing to take up arms against the Americans; the reward they are being offered for killing one American has had to be raised from $300 to $5,000.

Meanwhile, 95 percent of Iraq, while still bristling with privately held arms and dangerous, has brought very few deaths to Americans and others. Virtually all the killings of Americans these days take place within a triangle whose three sides are approximately 100 miles in length. This small triangle, a mere five percent of Iraq's land surface, runs from just south of Baghdad about 100 miles north to Tikrit, about 80 miles from Tikrit to Al-Ramadi, and another 80 miles from Al-Ramadi back to Baghdad.

This is the famous "Sunni triangle," Saddam's homeland, and his most-committed base, the main source of his leadership cadres, and his most trusted and fiercest loyalists. What future do these Baathist Sunnis face, in an Iraq democratically led by a Shiite and Kurdish majority? Even though their rights will be protected, and their interests represented in the new government, some of them will still have to face an unblinking justice. For how long will their scarlet crimes be remembered by those they tortured, murdered, and tormented for 30 long years? Some of them desperately fear a just society.

Still, this small strip of hostile territory will not forever hold its secrets. The call of peace and prosperity will beckon to many civilized and decent people, and age-old streams of dignified manners and peaceful commercial ways will again emerge and flow anew, even in the Sunni Triangle.

Meanwhile, the United States is composed of 50 states, and every day there is an average of one murder in each of them, 50 every day. These 50 are tragic losses, too. They put the losses in Iraq in perspective.

Except that the young American soldiers in Iraq are there as volunteers, who are offering their own lives so that others might live. That is what makes each of their deaths so uniquely painful to their fellow citizens.

We will never be able to honor them enough.

— Michael Novak is the winner of the 1994 Templeton Prize for progress in religion and the George Frederick Jewett Scholar in Religion, Philosophy, and Public Policy at the American Enterprise Institute.



TOPICS: Culture/Society; Foreign Affairs; Front Page News; Government; News/Current Events; Politics/Elections; United Kingdom; War on Terror
KEYWORDS: goodnews; iraq; michaelnovak
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8 Unapologetically Pro-Coalition News Links and Articles
1 posted on 08/28/2003 6:42:17 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl
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To: MJY1288; Calpernia; Grampa Dave; anniegetyourgun; Coop; Ernest_at_the_Beach; BOBTHENAILER; ...
Osama bin Laden said before September 11, 2001 that Americans have become soft and surrender prone. Plainly, this is true of some Americans; but I don't think of most.

Please pass this on. An author honoring our troops by putting their sacrifices in perspective and telling the truth about their successes. Outstanding.

If you want on or off my pro-Coalition/anti-wanker ping list, just ping.

2 posted on 08/28/2003 6:49:55 AM PDT by Ragtime Cowgirl (Rummy to Rats, 8/21* This much is certain: their cause is lost. That regime will not be coming back.)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
There are basically two groups who desperately want as many American military deaths and injuries as possible in Iraq and Afghanistan.

One - militant Islamics.

Two - Democrats/Liberals/Liberal media (The second is basically one group).

3 posted on 08/28/2003 6:57:14 AM PDT by Enterprise
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
This is an excellent article to pass along in email, so that those of us who are plagued by the numbers, can show truly how they add up.

The end of the article is very good... we are indebted to our soldiers for the freedom that they give to us.
4 posted on 08/28/2003 6:59:16 AM PDT by Pan_Yans Wife ("Life isn't fair. It's fairer than death, is all.")
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Very few people see the Iraq issue in perspective. This summary is excellent. Thanks for putting some logic and wisdom on FR.

Many Freepers are getting soft because they are bombarded with the daily liberal press releases of the negatives, and yes, before you flame me, I do grieve for each American lost.

However in the bean counting mode, more Americans (well mostly Americans...OK some are Americans) are killed in LA daily than in Iraq. Statistically, three times as many American military people die in daily traffic accidents in the US than die in Iraq. More Americans have died from West Nile virus that American combat losses. One thousand Englishmen have died from heat related issues this summer (since the end of major combat action in Iraq) and 10,000 Frenchmen have died from heat (since the end of major combat action in Iraq).

5 posted on 08/28/2003 7:02:19 AM PDT by pfflier
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Outstanding article putting everything into perspective. There are a few FReepers who most certainly need to read and comprehend every word in this article, but I'm not going to ping them and give them a chance to soil yet another thread.
6 posted on 08/28/2003 7:03:19 AM PDT by Coop (God bless our troops!)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
RC..have you seen any stats on the number of US military deaths during training the last decade..
7 posted on 08/28/2003 7:03:46 AM PDT by ken5050
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
In early August, for instance, in an American sweep north of Baghdad, while eight Americans were being killed, more than 300 Fedayeen who engaged them died in combat.

Hmm. Wonder why this number hasn't been mentioned in the mainstream press? I'm actually surprised FOX hasn't put out this number.

8 posted on 08/28/2003 7:07:52 AM PDT by ladtx ( "Remember your regiment and follow your officers." Captain Charles May, 2d Dragoons, 9 May 1846)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Thanks for the article, RC! Last night they showed a graphic of the figures n Fox, and I noticed the disparity in combat and accidental deaths. I hadn't had time to look up the figures, but I am glad to see that Mr. Novak has done so and has made the point about how the press is treating the statistics.
9 posted on 08/28/2003 7:08:29 AM PDT by Miss Marple
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
"Since March thousands of terrorists from around the world have flocked to Iraq to wreak death on Americans. They are still pouring in, drawn like moths to flame."

Nice line.

50 murders a day in America, let's add in the accidental deaths. What would the number be then? I was curious what the accidental death rate is for the military when they are at home in a military base.
10 posted on 08/28/2003 7:08:57 AM PDT by TheDon (Why do liberals always side with the enemies of the US?)
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To: ladtx
I've wondered about that as well. We have a rather pathetic press for being a free press. I pretty much assume that any reports of deaths on our side over there, mean at least the same, if not more, for the Saddam loyalists.
11 posted on 08/28/2003 7:11:32 AM PDT by TheDon (Why do liberals always side with the enemies of the US?)
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
"So they started totaling all military deaths in Iraq, including those from accidents, which happen in military life every day, everywhere. ..."

It would be interesting for someone, for comparisons' sake, to research the total deaths that occurred during the 12-year "containment" of Saddam. I recall quite a few getting killed in Kuwait, some from hostile fire last November. I'll bet the total is well over 100.

12 posted on 08/28/2003 7:16:40 AM PDT by cookcounty
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
bump
13 posted on 08/28/2003 7:20:45 AM PDT by Soaring Feather
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Our troops need to know that we understand this. I'm writing to a few of them, and they desperately want us to understand that they know what they're there for, they know that what they are doing is to protect us, and the only thing they fear is that we won't understand that.
14 posted on 08/28/2003 7:25:21 AM PDT by McGavin999
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To: cookcounty
" the 12-year "containment" of Saddam"

The only alternative suggested by the anti-war crowd was continued "containment," which they imply is "inexpensive."

Of course, the fact is, it cost many billion$$$$

and, more importantly, we paid in blood as well, for that "containment"

Of course, Cnn and Peter Jennings don't have enough analtic ability for the job.

15 posted on 08/28/2003 7:26:10 AM PDT by cookcounty
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To: cookcounty
"Cnn and Peter Jennings don't have enough analtic ability for the job."

and no analytic ability, either!

16 posted on 08/28/2003 7:28:10 AM PDT by cookcounty
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
SPOTREP
17 posted on 08/28/2003 7:38:12 AM PDT by LiteKeeper
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
Every terrorist who rushes to Baghdad to kill Americans is one less who is attacking Americans at home. The American strategy is to fight them in Iraq, and other places outside the U.S., rather than to sit and wait for them to come to harm us in New York, Washington, or Los Angeles.

AMEN!! I love Michael Novak!

18 posted on 08/28/2003 7:41:46 AM PDT by SuziQ
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To: Ragtime Cowgirl
The drumbeat regularity of one death every two days hurts even more.

I have been noticing this. I was telling Mr. StarCMC a couple of days ago that what bothers me about the constant reporting is that they are not doing it to honor the heroes, but it's almost as it they are using the deaths of these brave men as a battering ram to further their purposes. Anyone else notice that?

19 posted on 08/28/2003 7:44:34 AM PDT by StarCMC (God protect the 969th in Iraq and their Captain, my brother...God protect them all!)
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To: TheDon; Ragtime Cowgirl
Well, looks like I tapped into the motherload - The Center for Army Lessons Learned at Ft. Leavenworth. There's probably more information there relevant to this topic than I can digest in a month, let alone in the next few minutes. I don't know if they allow civilian access to their library, but it's worth looking for.

As a teaser, I found this in a text document after searching for 'Accidental Deaths' on their site. It was posted to the "News from the Field" Knowledge Center in the "News Articles" folder.

by Carlla E. Xxxxx
U.S. Army Center for Health Promotion and Preventive Medicine

Unintended injuries and accidental deaths are serious problems in the United States. New laws have been enacted, and new technologies have been developed to make our lives and communities safer. Despite these advances, the numbers of injuries and deaths 'by accident' continue to remain at a high level.

In 2001, the National Safety Council recorded 51,500 deaths occurring in the home and community; 43,400 deaths occurring from automobile crashes; and 5,200 people dying while at work ('Injury Facts,' 2001 edition). These statistics underscore the importance of a safety-minded attitude.

That's over 100,000 accidental deaths in the US in the general population in one year. I'll see if I can find a a link into this on a non-secure server...

20 posted on 08/28/2003 7:48:31 AM PDT by HiJinx (The Right person, at the Right place, at the Right time...)
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