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Nearly half of Americans wouldn't vote for Bush again
AFP ^ | 08-23-03

Posted on 08/23/2003 4:31:16 PM PDT by Brian S

Sunday August 24, 6:48 AM

A growing number of Americans don't want to see US President George W. Bush re-elected next year, and fear US troops will be drawn into a long, costly occupation of Iraq, according to a Newsweek poll.

For the first time the poll has found that more registered voters -- 49 percent -- would not want Bush to return for a second term in office if the elections were now, compared with 44 percent who would.

Only 23 percent said terrorism and homeland security would be the most important issues for them in the November 2004 election, compared with 48 percent who said deciding factors for them now would be the economy and jobs.

Meanwhile, 69 percent are now convinced the United States will become bogged down in Iraq, without achieving ostensible goals in getting the country back on its feet.

Some 40 percent of them are now "very concerned" US troops will be there for the long-haul.

A majority also fears that US forces will be overextended in the event of a security threat elsewhere, according to the poll in the latest edition of Newsweek -- 29 percent very concerned and 30 percent somewhat concerned.

Americans also think that reconstruction costs in Iraq are too high at one billion dollars per week -- 66 percent said they do not support such spending, compared with 34 percent who said they support current spending levels.

And 53 percent said they would oppose an increase to the figure being spent, with only seven percent not opposed to an increase.

Almost half of people polled -- 47 percent -- said they were very concerned that maintaining troops in Iraq is too expensive and will cause a higher budget deficit, seriously damaging the US economy.

Despite some indications the US president's popularity is on the wane, a majority still approves of the way Bush is handling his job. Some 53 percent supported him compared with 36 who did not, with 11 unsure.

In a Newsweek poll released a month ago, 49 percent said they would like to see Bush re-elected compared with 43 percent who would not.

Voters said they prefered Republican President Bush's stance for dealing with terrorists than what they have seen so far from leading figures among the Democrats.

Some 57 percent said they prefered Bush's position on terrorism to 21 who prefered the Democrats. But 45 percent felt the Democrats had more to offer on stimulating the economy, compared with 36 percent who thought Bush had a better approach.

The survey was taken between August 21-22 on some 1,011 adults aged 18 and above. The poll has a plus or minus three percent error margin.


TOPICS: Front Page News; Politics/Elections
KEYWORDS: britain; electionpresident; polls; presidentbushlist; publicopinionlist
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1 posted on 08/23/2003 4:31:16 PM PDT by Brian S
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To: Brian S
Excerpt and Link to the Newsweek article

When is Enough Enough?

Americans are increasingly pessimistic about the U.S. mission in Iraq, saying the United States should reduce its spending and scale back its efforts there, according to the latest NEWSWEEK poll.SIXTY-NINE PERCENT of Americans polled say they are very concerned (40 percent) or somewhat concerned (29 percent) that the United States will be bogged down for many years in Iraq without making much progress in achieving its goals. Just 18 percent say they're confident that a stable, democratic form of government can take shape in Iraq over the long term; 37 percent are somewhat confident. Just 13 percent say U.S. efforts to establish security and rebuild Iraq have gone very well since May 1, when combat officially ended; 39 percent say somewhat well.

Nearly half of respondents, 47 percent, say they are very concerned that the cost of maintaining troops in Iraq will lead to a large budget deficit and seriously hurt the U.S. economy. And 60 percent of those polled say the estimated $1 billion per week that the United States is spending is too much and the country should scale back its efforts. One-third supports the current spending levels for now, but just 15 percent of those polled say they would support maintaining the current spending levels for three years or more.

2 posted on 08/23/2003 4:34:33 PM PDT by Brian S
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Comment #3 Removed by Moderator

To: Brian S
A serious, massive crackdown on illegal immigration could boost his numbers quickly.
4 posted on 08/23/2003 4:39:40 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: Brian S
"Nearly half of respondents, 47 percent, say they are very concerned that the cost of maintaining troops in Iraq will lead to a large budget deficit and seriously hurt the U.S. economy"

OH! I seem to remember the same crowd was yelling a while ago that we were in the war for "oil"??????? Well., where are the oil profits?

5 posted on 08/23/2003 4:39:49 PM PDT by Apple Pan Dowdy (... as American as Apple Pie)
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To: Brian S
A whole lot can happen in 14 months.

Call me an eternal optimist, but I'm betting those numbers will look decidedly different come next October. It may not be a landslide, but it will definitely not be 50:50 again.
6 posted on 08/23/2003 4:39:59 PM PDT by Choose Ye This Day (http://thetaoofthedow.blogspot.com)
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To: Brian S
Blah blah blah. Gimme a poll of likely voters in about 6 months after the economic recovery can't be hidden by the press.
7 posted on 08/23/2003 4:40:16 PM PDT by Dog Gone
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To: B Knotts
And, it would win him California.
8 posted on 08/23/2003 4:40:21 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: B Knotts
He won't do it. Wouldn't be prudent.

10 posted on 08/23/2003 4:40:50 PM PDT by ambrose (Property Taxes are Too Low, Vote for Ahnold!)
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To: Dog Gone
That's true. The economy is improving, but it's not obvious to most people yet.
11 posted on 08/23/2003 4:41:03 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: ambrose
I wish he'd send Rove to the doghouse on this one.
12 posted on 08/23/2003 4:41:38 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: Brian S
LOL. More than half of Americans didn't vote for him the FIRST time. He was selected, not elected. Remember? Bwahahahhahaha.
13 posted on 08/23/2003 4:42:18 PM PDT by Jim Robinson (Conservative by nature... Republican by spirit... Patriot by heart... AND... ANTI-Liberal by GOD!)
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To: Brian S
I would be interesting to see the numbers on his father at the same point in his first term. I think at one point Bush I had approval ratings as high as 85 percent after the first gulf war and then they dropped. How far and how fast is the question? The economy is anemic and may or may not be getting better. Iraq is a concern as well and from the numbers above the spending on Iraq seems to concern Americans more than the continuing casualties.
14 posted on 08/23/2003 4:42:19 PM PDT by Burkeman1 ((If you see ten troubles comin down the road, Nine will run into the ditch before they reach you.))
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To: B Knotts
Or, better yet, the woodshed. :-)
15 posted on 08/23/2003 4:42:20 PM PDT by B Knotts
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To: B Knotts
This is a jobless recovery. When 3,000,000 more people are out of work, it's hard to tell them in the midst of another layoff of 1,300 at HP, and 1,400 at Boeing, that technically the economy is growing, even though unemployment is up. Somebody refinancing their home in order to stay afloat while they look for work is not interested in technical arguments.
16 posted on 08/23/2003 4:44:37 PM PDT by dogbyte12 (Let's Outsource CEO's to the Third World)
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To: Brian S
This is a classic polling/reporting trick. When you pair up an elected official with a hypothetical "somebody else" and ask the public to choose, you always get relatively high numbers choosing "someone else." But when you pair the same elected official against the actual human beings that are fighting to challenge said politician in the next election, the percentage of people choosing that specific Somebody Else drops sharply.

Put another way:

Pollster: "So do you think Bush should serve a second term, or would you rather have a new face in the White House?"

Voter: "Well, I'm getting tired of Bush. It turns out he doesn't agree with me 100% on every single political issue, so he should probably go. I'd like to see someone else elected."

Pollster: "Okay, say that in November 2004 the election will be between Bush and John Kerry. Who would you vote for?"

Voter: "John Kerry? That psycho? Holy crap! Bush all the way, dude!"

Thus far, Bush is handily beating all potential RAT candidates when he is placed head-to-head with them individually in political polls.
17 posted on 08/23/2003 4:44:58 PM PDT by Timesink
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To: Jim Robinson
I wonder if Nader is going to run again? Haven't heard anything from him in some time (except his incredible claim that if he were President- 9/11 would never have occured.)
18 posted on 08/23/2003 4:45:00 PM PDT by Burkeman1 ((If you see ten troubles comin down the road, Nine will run into the ditch before they reach you.))
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To: Jim Robinson
Did even half of the American people even vote at all? ;)
19 posted on 08/23/2003 4:45:09 PM PDT by Brian S
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To: Brian S
yada yada yada....

So, where's the poll that says more than half of those surveyed are gonna vote for Howard Dean instead?

20 posted on 08/23/2003 4:45:30 PM PDT by anniegetyourgun
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