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THE DIFFERENCE A YEAR MAKES
Jewish World Review ^ | 6/24/2003 | Frank J. Gaffney, Jr

Posted on 06/24/2003 8:25:51 AM PDT by LarryM

THE DIFFERENCE A YEAR MAKES

By Frank J. Gaffney, Jr.

http://www.jewishworldreview.com | One year ago today, George W. Bush strode into the White House Rose Garden to unveil what he called a "vision" for Mideast peace. At the time, the June 24, 2002 address garnered wide attention for the willingness it formally expressed -- for the first time by any U.S. President -- to recognize a Palestinian state. Ever since then, proponents of such a state have been working assiduously to water down, ignore and, if possible, eliminate the important caveats Mr. Bush made clear would have to be satisfied before he would support its establishment.

The anniversary of the vision speech is an appropriate moment to reflect on both the current status and abiding salience in particular of three of these caveats. They exemplify the President's original determination to ensure that a new state of Palestine would not simply amount to a new terrorist-sponsoring nation in a region still populated by too many of them.

On June 24th last year, Mr. Bush declared: "Peace requires a new and different Palestinian leadership, so that a Palestinian state can be born. I call on the Palestinian people to elect new leaders, leaders not compromised by terror."

This was a stunning, yet absolutely sensible, precondition. The President had, from the beginning of his administration, understood that the old Palestinian leadership under Yasser Arafat was part of the problem, not the solution. In insisting that a new leadership -- uncompromised by terror and enjoying a popular mandate -- precede a new state, Mr. Bush recognized that only if the Palestinian people wanted an end to terror and true peace with Israel would these goals be achieved.

In the intervening months, though, the President was prevailed upon to declare Yasser Arafat's right-hand man for forty years, Mahmoud Abbas, the "new and different" leadership he had in mind. He has legitimated him with a summit meeting and pledged inestimable support, both politically, financially and in the ominous rebuilding of Palestinian "security" forces -- even though Abbas was not popularly elected and has acknowledged the obvious: Arafat remains in control.

A year ago, President Bush said: "Today, Palestinian authorities are encouraging, not opposing, terrorism. This is unacceptable. And the United States will not support the establishment of a Palestinian state until its leaders engage in a sustained fight against the terrorists and dismantle their infrastructure."

Over the past twelve months, President Bush has embraced a "road map" that ostensibly implements his vision for Mideast peace. Nowhere is the difference between the original plan and the so-called implementation more stark, however, than with respect to the precondition that Palestinian terror must be dismantled before the U.S. would "support" (let alone recognize) a new state. According to the road map, the United States is committed to endorse the establishment of a Palestinian state -- starting with something called "provisional boundaries" by the end of this year -- even if the Palestinian leadership continues to refuse to fight terrorists.

Last year, the President declared: "I've said in the past that nations are either with us or against us in the war on terror. To be counted on the side of peace, nations must act. Every leader actually committed to peace will end incitement to violence in official media, and publicly denounce homicide bombings."

Today, official incitement in support of anti-Israeli and anti-Western terror continues in virtually every Arab capital except, notably, in Baghdad. In particular, Arafat's Palestinian Authority (PA) persists in its use of maps, television and radio broadcasts and print media that conveys the proto-government's abiding determination to "liberate" all of "Palestine" -- including the land Israel "occupied" before the 1967 Six Day War.

The Bush Administration has been reduced to accepting as sufficient mumbled denunciations in English by Abbas of continuing Palestinian terror attacks. Lest the road map come a cropper, however, the U.S. government is ignoring the fact that those who perpetrate these "homicide bombings" (even ones that kill American citizens) continue to be lionized in Arabic via PA outlets as "martyrs."

Interestingly, the results of a new national opinion poll performed by Luntz Research Companies for the Center for Security Policy shows very strong popular support for each of these visionary Bush caveats. By a 61% to 21% margin, the American people do not think Mahmoud Abbas represents new Palestinian leadership untainted by terror. 73% agree (46% "strongly") with the precondition that the Palestinian terror infrastructure must be dismantled; only 18% disagree. And 73% think it "fair" for Israel to insist that Palestinian incitement against it must stop before there can be any hope for a true peace. Only 16% think such insistence to be "unfair." Such sentiments are even more pronounced among Christian conservatives central to Mr. Bush's political base. (The results of this poll can be viewed at [site].)

George W. Bush's success as president to date has been rooted in his firm attachment to clear principles. One of the most important of these has been that terror against free peoples is terror; it will be fought everywhere and not rewarded. The road map has already proven a futile and potentially dangerous diversion from that path.

Before more damage is done to the coherence and integrity of U.S. policy in the war on terror, to the prospects for realizing a genuine and durable Mideast peace and perhaps to the Bush presidency itself, a course correction is required that moves once again in the direction laid out by the President a year ago today.


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs
KEYWORDS: frankjgaffneyjr
Bush has become an object of ridicule, especially among his best supporters. Is he capable of a mid-course correction?
1 posted on 06/24/2003 8:25:52 AM PDT by LarryM
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To: LarryM
The purpose of the road map is to give Israel political cover for eliminating terror groups - it's doing a good job of it too. The backlash against Israel's current open-season on Hamas is muted because it would necessitate dumping the Road Map as well.

IMO Bush learned the lesson of Oslo - Make the process tie the hands of the enemy, not your own.
2 posted on 06/24/2003 8:35:27 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: thoughtomator
I only wish what you are saying is true.The Road Map is a Munich agreement orchestrated by Bush to appease his Saudi handlers.
3 posted on 06/24/2003 8:38:02 AM PDT by LarryM
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To: LarryM; thoughtomator
I can't believe how many well meaning and otherwise reasonable posters here actually hold thoughtomator's view that this is all some Machiavellian plan to do in the Palestinians.

I believe like LarryM, like the author.

4 posted on 06/24/2003 8:46:35 AM PDT by Courier (Quick: Name one good thing about the Saudis.)
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To: Courier; LarryM
I'd say the evidence backs up my point of view. Remember the failed 'second' (18th) Security Council resolution? We went in anyway - same idea here. Go back to Bush's actual words - the emphasis is on the elimination of terror groups.

The establishment of an Arab state in the disputed territories is loaded with impossible preconditions. The existence of the Road Map doesn't make sense outside the context of fighting the war on terror.

I see this as Rumsfeldian diplomatic brilliance.
5 posted on 06/24/2003 9:44:38 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: thoughtomator
The establishment of an Arab state in the disputed territories is loaded with impossible preconditions.

Like Condition #1: Palestinians halt ALL violence.

Does anyone really believe they're capable of that?

6 posted on 06/24/2003 9:51:06 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: thoughtomator
Many dead Israelis, and Arabs, are going to prove you wrong if this continues.
7 posted on 06/24/2003 9:52:54 AM PDT by Courier (Quick: Name one good thing about the Saudis.)
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To: Mr. Mojo
Like Condition #1: Palestinians halt ALL violence.

Bingo. That's why any astute observer can tell there is zero intention of actually putting together another Arab state here. What Arab state, anywhere, could accomplish this? In the meantime, Israel gets to go full throttle against Hamas, and gets diplomatic cover from the Road Map.

8 posted on 06/24/2003 9:55:46 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: Mr. Mojo
The Bush Administration is ignoring the pre-conditions just as quickly as the Palestinians are not fulfilling them.

Do you consider Abbas, and every other old name in his cabinet, to be new leadership? Is Arafat really sidelined?

Now they are excited about a three month truce with Hamas. It's a truce until they get rearmed.

It's a sad pathetic joke. If it would only result in dead Arabs, I would join in the laughter.
9 posted on 06/24/2003 9:58:19 AM PDT by Courier (Quick: Name one good thing about the Saudis.)
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To: Courier
Many dead Israelis have already been sacrificed to the illusion of peace process. Israel won independence in 1948. In 2003, 55 years later, Arabs are still fighting that war. What makes you think there is a snowball's chance in hell that they will stop the violence now? We'll sooner see Al Gore admit that the Florida fiasco was an attempted coup d'etat.
10 posted on 06/24/2003 10:00:13 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: thoughtomator
However, the concern is that even if the Palestinians fail to live up to Condition #1 of the roadmap, the Administration might very well end up overlooking this and proceed with the plan anyway. Although there's certainly no guarantee that this would happen, it's not out of the realm of possibility. Oslo has left many people (undertandably) very skeptical.
11 posted on 06/24/2003 10:02:41 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: Courier
Do you consider Abbas, and every other old name in his cabinet, to be new leadership? Is Arafat really sidelined?

No, and no. Abu Mazen is a terrorist (one of the ones reponsible for the '72 Munich massacre, if I'm not mistaken), and Arafat is still lurking behind the scenes with much more power than the Administration is willing to publicly admit. NONE of the conditions have been met --- we're in full agreement.

12 posted on 06/24/2003 10:06:30 AM PDT by Mr. Mojo
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To: thoughtomator
The Arabs are fighting because they can't lose. Only Israel can lose.

Whatever they do, make war in 48, 67, 73, they risk nothing because Israel is compelled to give back the victory.

Israel offers them a State with Jerusalem in 2001, they reject it, no penalty. They start a war, Israel is the bad guy.

The International community, including the US, never allows this to end.

The Arabs get an unending bite of the apple. They are the only ones to get their cake (war) and eat it too (make demands after they lose the wars they start).

If Israel was allowed to extract an unconditional surrender, this would end in a hurry.



13 posted on 06/24/2003 10:07:53 AM PDT by Courier (Quick: Name one good thing about the Saudis.)
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To: Courier
>>>Many dead Israelis, and Arabs, are going to prove you wrong if this continues. <<<

Faulty argument. Logical fallacy "post hoc ergo prompter hoc". There is no course of action which will not result in dead on both sides.

I believe there are two road maps. The public road map, if taken, leads to peace and a Palestinian state. The non-public road map, which parties are proceeding along, leads to regime change in Ramallah.

As for what is being said and done in public, remember, politics is the art of the possible.

14 posted on 06/24/2003 10:15:16 AM PDT by MalcolmS (Do Not Remove This Tagline Under Penalty Of Law!)
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To: Courier
Amen!!!

The only way this can possibly end is for Israel to be left alone long enough to solve the problem....

"There can be only one"
15 posted on 06/24/2003 10:35:26 AM PDT by logic ("all that is required for evil to triumph, is for good men to do nothing")
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To: Mr. Mojo
My reply to that well-founded fear is to take a look at what happened when Saddam and Kim Il-Jung (and Jacques Chiraq!) tried to double-cross GWB. I don't agree with everything this President does, but I am extremely confident that he means what he says. Nowhere has GWB stated support for a Pali state without being explicit in linking the end of Pali terrorism by Palis with the establishment of the Pali state. If Israel has to do the job, no new state.
16 posted on 06/24/2003 11:04:29 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: logic
I contend that this can also be solved by including Israel in the 'us' in the phrase 'with us or against us'.
17 posted on 06/24/2003 11:06:06 AM PDT by thoughtomator (Road Map = Road Kill)
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To: LarryM; All
Bush has become an object of ridicule, especially among his best supporters. Is he capable of a mid-course correction?




If his feet are held to the fire maybe.
18 posted on 06/25/2003 7:18:33 PM PDT by TLBSHOW (The Gift is to See the Truth)
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