Posted on 10/01/2001 6:42:11 AM PDT by areafiftyone
Isn't it odd that retired people for the northeast vote for tax and spend liberals all their life, and then when they retire they move to a low tax state and vote for tax and spend liberals?
This is an education problem, pure and simple.
I doubt she'll befuddle Bush in the campaign much. I'd be more concerned about her spraying his staff down with her Heckler & Koch & setting fire to his campaign HQ with CS gas canisters.
That's hog-wash. The turning point in the election was the use of push-polls by Chiles - scaring the seniors with more DemocRAT lies.
Too bad those poor gassed and incinerated children could not "move on". If there was Justice at the justice dept. She would have been sentenced to death for ordering the use of deadly force at Waco.
Should read: The old witch rides around the state on a red broom.
I really don't think Reno will win. I see 9/11 as a sea change in the average voters' view on the Republicans and Democrats--or at least conservatives vice leftists. Anyway, when the time comes, one of us will be right. Do you mind if I say I hope it's me?
As my wife is fond of saying, it's better to have it and not need it, than to need it and not have it.
She CAN NOT be underestimated. I'd rather face her than a Pete Peterson, but we can not be complacent here.
I posted this on another thread.
This is not a gimme though. Reno is not viewed as Geoff Fieger by everyone. Here's the trouble. Without Nader, Gore would have won. The blacks there will out for blood and there will be a large grassroots effort among the NAAC(communist)P to beat Jeb. I also think Palm Beach and Broward will be after him too. They feel robbed, even though they wern't.
It will come down to TURNOUT.
The dems won
Alachua[Gainesville](by 13,000)
Broward[Ft Lauderdale, etc](by 210,000),
Gasden[Quincy, near Talahassee](by 5000),
Hernado[Rural north of Tampa](by 2000),
Jefferson[East of Talahassee](by 600),
Leon[Talahasee](by 22,000),
Miami-Dade(by 39000),
Monroe[Key West](by 400),
Orange[Orlando](by 6000),
Osceloa[Kissimmee-St Cloud](by 1900),
Palm Beach[Boca Raton/Palm Beach](by 117,000),
Pasco[North of Tampa](by 1000),
Pinellas[St. Pete](by 16,000),
St Lucie[Fort Pierce](by 7000),
Volusia[Daytona Beach](by 15,000).
This is not counting the Nader voters. Bush needs a turnout in Dixie, Cubans, and Military Absentees, along with conservatives in general to win.
Bush needs a HUGE turnout from these areas.
Bay(+18,000) (Panama City)
Brevard(+19000) (Melbourne)
Duval(+50,000) (Jacksonville)
Escambia(+33000) (Pensacola)
Higlands(+6000) (Sebring)
Hillsborough(+11000) (Tampa area)
Indian River(+9000) (Winter Beach)
Lake (+14000) (near Orlando)
Lee (+27000) (Ft Myers)
Manatee(+8000) (Brandenton)
Marion(+11000) (Ocala)
Martin(+7000) (North of Palm Beach)
Nassau(+9500) (North of Jacksonville)
Oklaoosa (+36000) (Fort Walton Beach near Pensacola)
Polk (+15,000) (Lakeland)
Santa Rosa(+15000) (near Pensacola)
Seminole(+16000) (Winter Park, near Orlando)
St Johns(+20000) (St Augustine)
Walton(+6500) (Near Panama City)
Could a VERY HIGH Palm Beach, Broward, Gainesville, Talahassee, Non-Cuban Dade, and Black Vote, take out the Cuban and North Fla vote?? That's the question there. I think Central Fla decides this.
I think Florida and Michigan are similar politically with a strong regional politics, although Florida is about 4-5% to the right of MI.
Right now, I predict 50%-48% Jeb over Reno.
Everyone is saying that Miller is a shoo-in for the special election, but I am beginning to worry a bit.
There are a lot of yellow dog democrats in this area who are conservative yet still vote democratic because grandpa did. I have noticed there are probably 50 Briese (however you spell his name) signs up in this area for every Miller one. I have also noticed a few Miller signs have disappeared.
I would be surprised the demoncrats are spending this much money unless they smell a possible victory. Possibly they plan a secret "get out the vote" plan since this election is not being publicised.
From what I have seen of Miller he will be better than Scarborough, who was good but not as great as some think.
I actually can't think of a single example off hand but would occassionally see something which Scarborough did which was not real conservative, still he was better than 99% of the rest of Congress.
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