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U.S. strikes unlikely to move Iran, intelligence reports say
Washington Post ^ | 7/21/2026 6:07 p.m. EDT | Warren P. Strobel and John Hudson

Posted on 07/21/2026 5:53:26 AM PDT by TexasGunLover

Iran’s government is unlikely to feel significant impact or soften its negotiating position as a result of new rounds of U.S. military strikes like those now underway, according to a new intelligence assessment described by current and former U.S. officials.

(Excerpt) Read more at washingtonpost.com ...


TOPICS: Foreign Affairs; News/Current Events; US: District of Columbia
KEYWORDS: 5thcolumonfr; aidandcomfort; anonymoussources; concerntroll; concerntrolling; demagogicparty; districtofcolumbia; enemycombatants; enemyjournalists; iran; irgc; johnhudson; mediawingofthednc; mullahloversonfr; mullahloverssay; multiplenicks; tds; tehrantedsays; texasmullahlover; texastdstroll; warrenpstrobel; washingtoncompost; washingtonpost
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1 posted on 07/21/2026 5:53:26 AM PDT by TexasGunLover
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To: TexasGunLover

If they’re not moved, then they will be leveled.


2 posted on 07/21/2026 5:55:26 AM PDT by Kleon
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To: TexasGunLover

Laughable argument. If you wipe them off the face of the Earth, there is no reluctance in negotiations to deal with.


3 posted on 07/21/2026 5:57:04 AM PDT by Gnome1949
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To: TexasGunLover

From WaPo.....

*ROFL*

Such a well-respected news source...


4 posted on 07/21/2026 5:58:45 AM PDT by JBW1949 (I'm really PC.....Patriotically Correct)
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To: TexasGunLover
--- "....described by current and former U.S. officials."

So, horse manure, as always. Remember those 51 who said the Hunter Biden laptop story was false?

5 posted on 07/21/2026 5:59:18 AM PDT by Worldtraveler once upon a time (Degrow government)
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To: Kleon

The strikes are not the end point. The strikes are to deprive the IRGC of capability.

The totally destructive end point will be the occupation and control of Kharg Island.

The end of all revenue streaming from the oil will effectively starve the IRGC to death.


6 posted on 07/21/2026 5:59:24 AM PDT by bert ( (KE. NP. +12) Quid Quid Nominatur Fabricatur)
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To: All

Israeli-induced US airstrikes caused significant damage and structural
collapse to surface buildings and key sites like Iran’s Natanz and Isfahan.

But Iran’s deeply buried components and underground enrichment networks (those at Fordow) remain largely intact, with the program delayed by a few months to two years...... depending on the intelligence assessment.

For further reading, consult official reporting from the Arms Control Association.


7 posted on 07/21/2026 6:00:35 AM PDT by Liz (“The heavens declare the glory of God; the skies the work of His hands." (Psalm 19:1))
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To: TexasGunLover

Until you kill the IRGC, they will never stop. I am afraid there we are in a no-win, Vietnam again, type situation.


8 posted on 07/21/2026 6:01:36 AM PDT by RetiredArmy (The Bible speaks truth! Don't believe it, you do so at your own peril. You'd better be right!!)
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To: bert
amen

and the other islands and ports to boot.

9 posted on 07/21/2026 6:01:46 AM PDT by Theophilus (I'm all out of attention to this matter...)
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To: TexasGunLover

Terminate a few more rounds of Iran’s leaders to where they have a new government. Remove the head of the snake.


10 posted on 07/21/2026 6:02:26 AM PDT by boycott
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To: bert

True. And we don’t actually have to occupy Kharg Island to control it.


11 posted on 07/21/2026 6:04:31 AM PDT by boycott
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To: bert

And they will still resist.

And China would never allow us to control the oil they need.

I don’t know the “good” answer to this problem. I just think this will last longer and get messier than we ever imagined.

Until we start dropping containers full of weapons for the people on the streets, the IRGC will continue to run things. The problem with that plan is that we allowed 30,000 potential revolutionaries to be massacred in the streets in January.


12 posted on 07/21/2026 6:04:51 AM PDT by Vermont Lt
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To: TexasGunLover

“U.S. strikes unlikely to move Iran, intelligence reports say”. Move Iran to Iraq, that way they’re all in the same place.


13 posted on 07/21/2026 6:04:55 AM PDT by kawhill (Dywedwch wrthym because + Add translation Welsh-English dictionary 'Tell Us')
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To: TexasGunLover

Maybe it’s because they know what hit them. If they didn’t know then I would expect that they’d have more respect for the will of Allah. /s


14 posted on 07/21/2026 6:05:55 AM PDT by equaviator (Nobody's perfect. That's why they put pencils on erasers!)
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To: Liz
“But Iran's deeply buried components and underground enrichment networks (those at Fordow) remain largely intact, with the program delayed by a few months to two years...... depending on the intelligence assessment.”

One thing air power can do is to modify Iranian behavior.

Iran hates Israel and wants to wipe them off the earth. They attacked Israel with missiles previously.

Right now, Iran is not attacking Israel although Iran is killing Americans.

Do you know why Iran is not attacking Israel?

15 posted on 07/21/2026 6:06:31 AM PDT by jeffersondem
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To: JBW1949

These days on this forum my friend it’s not enough to check a source for trustworthiness....now the original poster must be scrutinized as well.

There is now a growing number of those who tend to continually post stories that contain an air of doubt and negativity when it comes to conservatives, President Trump and our country itself.

Only way to know is review the posters “in forum” posts, and most of us are just plain old too lazy to do that.


16 posted on 07/21/2026 6:07:10 AM PDT by V_TWIN (America....so great even the people that hate it won't leave!)
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To: TexasGunLover

31 Iranian refineries + 31 Israeli missiles = Good times for Iranian shoe repairmen

Note: Iranian thugs could still buy some gasoline off Iraq in exchange for confiscated luxury cars, rugs, gold, and jewelry.

The people getting the Iraqi gasoline would stand out.


17 posted on 07/21/2026 6:07:31 AM PDT by Brian Griffin (I used black electrical tape to cover the cameras of my cellphone and Windows PC)
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To: TexasGunLover; All

Nothing will ever disabuse Liberals of their conviction that hating Trump justifies all their treachery and treason!


18 posted on 07/21/2026 6:07:43 AM PDT by SMARTY (In politics, stupidity is not a handicap. Napoleon Bonaparte I)
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To: TexasGunLover

Is this the same “intelligence report” that warned us about 9-11, the Covid jircle cerk, the Socialist RAT takeover we’re now seeing?


19 posted on 07/21/2026 6:08:15 AM PDT by FlingWingFlyer (The crap going on in America ISN'T immigration. It's friggin' colonization. America is falling.)
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To: All

From the get-go, the Israeli/Mossad cabal assured Trump that after depleting US arms stockpile,
their 10,000 bombing sorties would “so weaken Iran” it’d be all over “in a matter of weeks.”

Iran would be rendered so “ineffective,” they’d even be “unable” to close the critical oil transport route ...... the Strait of Hormuz.


Now, 4½ months later, the US is still fighting w/ no end in sight, or even with a clear definition
of what an acceptable end would be -— w/ costs to taxpayers escalating into the mega billions.


Oops, darn it all.

Israel and the Mossad “forgot” (/s) to tell Trump that the “weakened” Iran and its Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) would be supplied with military hardware, precursor chemicals, and logistical support by an international network involving state actors and foreign front companies, particularly from China, Russia, and localized proxies.

Intelligence indicates Chinese entities supply the IRGC with precursor chemicals (such as sodium perchlorate) for ballistic missile fuel and dual-use components for drone manufacturing.

Russia and Iran operate a self-reinforcing exchange, where Russia supplies military hardware, aviation parts, and technological support in return for Iranian-made drones.

The US Treasury’s “Office of Foreign Assets Control” tracks and sanctions foreign aviation, transport, and front companies operating out of jurisdictions like Hong Kong, Italy, and Nigeria that act as intermediaries to obscure IRGC procurement.


The Iranian government, now appears stronger than ever, diverts massive domestic resources like food and oil revenues directly to the IRGC to sustain their fighting forces and domestic operations. In conflict zones like Syria, the IRGC sustains its logistical footprint and fighters through regional corridors managed by allied militias and covert transport firms.


20 posted on 07/21/2026 6:09:29 AM PDT by Liz (“The heavens declare the glory of God; the skies the work of His hands." (Psalm 19:1))
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