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US poised to end 2025 with the largest one-year drop in homicides ever recorded: Experts
ABC News ^ | 01/01/2026 | Bill Hutchinson

Posted on 01/01/2026 7:04:50 PM PST by SeekAndFind

This year began with a deadly New Year's Day car-ramming terrorist attack in New Orleans and is finishing with a flurry of horrific shootings, including a mass shooting at Brown University, but 2025 is also poised to end with the largest one-year drop in U.S. homicides ever recorded, according to data from cities both large and small.

Based on a sampling of preliminary crime statistics from 550 U.S. law enforcement agencies, the year is expected to end with a roughly 20% decrease in homicides nationwide, Jeff Asher, a national crime analyst, told ABC News.

"So, even taking a conservative view, let's say its 17% or 16%, you're still looking at the largest one-year drop ever recorded in 2025," said Asher, co-founder of AH Datalytics and a former crime analyst for the CIA and the New Orleans Police Department.

Experts say crime levels appear "back to normal" after a pandemic surge.

The dramatic drop in homicides surpasses a 15% decline in 2024, which was then the largest decrease on record, according to Asher. In 2023, the number of homicides across the country fell 13% and 6% in 2022, according to the FBI.

The number of homicides nationwide is expected to be the lowest since the FBI began keeping such records in 1960, Asher said.


(Excerpt) Read more at abcnews.go.com ...


TOPICS: Crime/Corruption; Culture/Society; News/Current Events
KEYWORDS: homicides; peaceandorder
Asher said his assessment is based on the Real-Time Crime Index , which he founded and is a collection of monthly crime data from 550 law enforcement agencies nationwide.
1 posted on 01/01/2026 7:04:50 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

2 posted on 01/01/2026 7:06:06 PM PST by SeekAndFind
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To: SeekAndFind

Trump’s fault.

Impeach him....


3 posted on 01/01/2026 7:11:53 PM PST by Paladin2 (YMMV)
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To: SeekAndFind
Nope.

My umbrella is positioned just like this:


4 posted on 01/01/2026 7:13:43 PM PST by logi_cal869 (-cynicus the "concern troll" a/o 10/03/2018 "/!i!! &@$%&*(@ -')
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To: SeekAndFind

Fantastic news that liberal media like ABC news dares to admit Trump’s massive success here! I’m a tad shocked...
Bravo Trump.


5 posted on 01/01/2026 7:53:47 PM PST by USA-FRANCE (Silence against evil isn't neutrality, it's complicity. Oppose the Iran-Russia-North Korea Alliance!)
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To: USA-FRANCE

Between “Defund the Police “ and sucking up to illegal aliens, it used to be called cooking the books.

A rose by any other name...


6 posted on 01/01/2026 7:57:58 PM PST by 4Runner ("I gotta join a union to get paid for loafin'?" " Sure ya do!" --Abbott & Costello)
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To: SeekAndFind

Thank you, President Trump! Were illegals committing the murders that Americans didn’t?


7 posted on 01/01/2026 8:40:53 PM PST by madison10 ("...the dark places of the earth are full of the haunts of cruelty." Psalm 74:20b [NKJV])
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To: SeekAndFind

Add the percentage drop in illegals this year to those stat pics....


8 posted on 01/01/2026 10:20:09 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: madison10

Also in spite of blue areas releasing career/serial criminals as fast as they possibly can.


9 posted on 01/01/2026 10:21:23 PM PST by Secret Agent Man (Gone Galt; not averse to Going Bronson.)
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To: logi_cal869

Looks like Cosette from Les Miserables.


10 posted on 01/01/2026 10:41:12 PM PST by nwrep
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To: SeekAndFind

National Guard.


11 posted on 01/02/2026 5:27:03 AM PST by Parley Baer
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To: SeekAndFind

Homicide rates have steadily declined in the US since the early 1990’s, with a small spike during the onset of Covid-19. The currently historically low homicide rates are not the work of any president or Congress, but related more to the increasing general age of our population.

Fewer young males has long been known to decrease the rates of homicide and other violent crimes.


12 posted on 01/02/2026 5:45:26 PM PST by Bob Wills is still the king
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To: Bob Wills is still the king

The biggest one year drop in history had nothing to do with Trump deporting nearly 400,000 known criminals in our nation illegally or getting the FBI to crack down hard on several big dangerous blue cities? Sure, sure, whatever you say…


13 posted on 01/03/2026 1:15:29 AM PST by FenwickBabbitt (Democrats support criminals and treason)
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