Posted on 11/02/2024 4:21:30 PM PDT by janetjanet998
Doomer poll.
Someone tweeted you are going to see all kinds of crap come out this weekend.
Organizations such as Des Moines Register aren’t frozen in time. People come and go. Old employees leave. New employees join. There’s likely been an influx of millenial women at the DMR. Millenial women are among the most woke and radically leftist demographics in the country and driving wokism across corporate America. This was likely the result of a last ditch effort to save their heroine Kamala. BTW the Marist poll that came out a couple of days ago that showed big leads for Kamala in WI and MI … I looked at their profile..all millenial women and a couple of token men.
Frank Luntz
@FrankLuntz
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Shocking is an understatement for this poll.
Ann Selzer is considered the best pollster in Iowa. Nevertheless, even the best of pollsters are not immune from producing outliers.
https://x.com/FrankLuntz/status/1852856974985384276
PollFair
@poll_fair
2024 Iowa GE - Selzer (Des Moines Register), 10/28-10/31, 808LV
Fairweighted™ Poll:
🔴 Trump 50% (+6)
🔵 Harris 44%
PollFair Weighting: R+10
Selzer Weighting: R+2
Original Poll:
Harris 47% (+3)
Trump 44%
Have you seen the early voting in Florida?
It is an insane Trump stomp-fest:
https://election.lab.ufl.edu/early-vote/2024-early-voting/2024-general-election-early-vote-florida/
Democrat 2,390,417 32.7 %
Republican 3,231,106 44.3 %
None/Minor 1,679,557 23.0 %
TOTAL 7,301,080 100 %
and...according to Pew analysis here:
https://www.pewresearch.org/politics/2024/10/24/american-voters-expectations-for-voting-this-year/
...the stomping is just going to get bigger on election day.
Desperate DNC Psych ops Push Polls .
This moron been dead wrong alot .
This Now suddenly self proclaimed expert is a standard Nasty Lying Dem operative .
Byron York just twittered Trump’s schedule for the next two days: 3 events in Pennsylvania, 2 in North Carolina and 1 in Georgia. The fact that he has nothing set for Wisconsin or Iowa either means he has given up on them (not likely for Iowa as he needs its six electoral votes) or he feels reasonably assured of carrying them.
Agree. Ann Selzer may have little to do with this poll, except release it under her name. Probably created by little progressive Marxists working in her company.
Yet the Open Borders American Hating Canadian Marxist has ads in Orlando ?
That is what we need—and it is exactly what we are going to get.
Why is this showing up now? A state that is going to change the way it has voted the last two elections would show it in early polling going back to over the summer. You also have another poll also released that was recently taken that is the exact opposite but reflects what polls have shown all summer. Also most of the anti abortion folks are women so not all of the women’s vote is uniform .
Fake it till you make it....
She’s been extremely accurate at least since 2016. Got every election in iowa from president to senator within a point and may exact. Not sure where you get your info on her cooking the books.
From comments by other large pollers Selzer is not “ widely respected”
Stick with Atlas, Rasmussen and Baris
They do expect some polling “ psyop” this weekend
Recall vote - you ask a person being polled, who they voted for last cycle (2020). Trump actually won Iowa by 8.2% in 2020. But during the poll, the recall could be Trump + 2%.
Selzer top issues in the poll were Democracy 51%, Abortion 22%, Inflation/Economy 7% LOL.
Iowa net increased R registrations by over 100,000 since 2020. State is current R+10. Looks like she weighted poll to R+2.
Just an outlier poll... whether intentional or not, who knows. Emerson released their poll of Iowa today, and Trump _+10.
How is a person’s party known in the early voting general election when the ballots are not counted until election day?
Florida has become a heavily populated state.
There are plenty of crazy lefties there—but they are vastly outnumbered by our folks in 2024.
This may be a year where they call Florida for President Trump on election night before the central time zone polls in Florida close—because the numbers are so ridiculously obvious Trump. They should not do that in fairness to people still voting in that time zone—but they may well do so anyway.
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