Posted on 09/22/2024 11:27:04 AM PDT by DallasBiff
Kamala is going to win! By Hook or by crook she will be the next president of the United States! Don’t you know she is a woman? Yes, and she is non-white to boot. The cheat is in and the ballot boxes stuffed. She has the big cities in her pocket, the rich and powerful have selected her to be Obama’s new puppet. She will win big and any who hint that its not a fare election will see FBI agents and long prison terms. Under her next two terms she will transform America! Once in office—Trump will be one of three things: 1. In Jail, 2. Flee the nation, 3. Dead. Trump’s very name a dirty word meaning a con-man egoist nazi.
BS, we all polling is unreliable and has been for the last ten year and polling on Trump is always wrong.
Lets say Kamala loses but she gets a consolation prize, Joe resigns and she gets to be President for 2 months being the first Female President and driving poor Hillary to finally drink herself to death.
Predicting what a cornered rat will do requires no prescience. If Trump is still in the race on Election Day then they will do their cheat which will likely be more obvious than the one they pulled in ‘20. When the right wing blowback spins up they will immediately go to force claiming the insurrection they’ve been talking up for four years. This time they will have to use force because it’s all they have left now. Remember we are a “threat to America “ NOW, already. They have set the stage. What happens after their force play does require prescience but them going to the guns is, like I said, all they have left when Trump wins again.
I fully expect what you lay out. We’re nearing an end game.
The RCP average on September 22, 2020 had Biden ahead by 7.1 points (Biden 50% Trump 42.9%). The final RCP average had Biden ahead by 7.2 points (Biden 51.2% Trump 44%). The RCP average on September 21, 2024 had Harris ahead by 2.2 points (Harris 49.4% Trump 47.2%). The final 2020 election results were Biden 51.3% Trump 46.8%.
So RCP on September 22, 2020 underestimated Biden by 1.3% and Trump by 3.9%. Can’t simply add Harris by 1.3% and Trump 3.9% to the RCP average because the total would be over 100%. But it is likely that Trump will be underestimated by 3 times the underestimation of Harris. 100 - 49.4 - 47.2 = 3.4%. If we leave 1% to be won by the independents, then Trump will add 1.8% and Harris will add 0.6%. So the popular vote could end up
Harris 50%, Trump 49%, everybody else 1%. This 1% difference between Trump and Harris is less than 2.1% difference between Hillary and Trump in 2016 (Clinton 48.2% and Trump 46.1%) Trump is likely to win the electoral college.
First. I am *not* saying the attempts on Trump were staged. They were planned by leftist nuts.
Why hasn’t kamalalaladingdong staged one of her own?
Nothing that comes out of the Harris campaign is worth believing or even noting. Nothing.
It’s 2016 all over again.
*********
In some areas and religious beliefs, maybe so. But a
major difference between 2016 where the USA was in some
state of lock down and voting was done in abnormal ways
to what is the usual process. The upcoming election won’t
have that arrangement processes to deal with.
If Gavin Newsom was running, this race won't even be close. So if Trump wins in November, this is what we're up against in 2028.
In 2020 it was true ofDetroit. Was true of Philly. Was true of Atlanta.
The more likely scenario is an October surprise in which he resigns earlier.
At that point it will not help her at all.
Polymarket numbers favoring Kamala appeared after the 2nd assassination attempt, and have not reacted yet to the unanimous vote in the House to increase Trump’s SS protection.
As long as we don’t have another mail in voting election then
things will be closer to normal. There will be a few states that
make the choice for the USA. Time will tell.
The future is what will make the greatest changes as the USA
goes thru the changes of all the new comers as they get the
right to vote.
Take a few minutes and look back at the changes to this land
called the USA since Columbus sailed in 1492. The new comers
came in, went to Africa and brought their natives in to do the
manual labor. A civil war was fought in the 1860s and we are
here with the results. Hell, the people may be living in outer
space in the 2100s. Food will be via injection or tablet as time
moves on.
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